Official meteorological observations from the UK Met Office confirmed a daytime maximum of precisely 20°C in central London on May 20, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to near-certainty. Moderate westerly winds and partly cloudy conditions limited further warming, consistent with short-range forecast models that had converged on a narrow 19–21°C range the prior day. This reading sits slightly above the May climatological average of around 18°C but remains well within historical variability for the season. Final resolution depends on verified station data, though adjustments exceeding 0.5°C are uncommon given the dense observational network.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on May 20?
20°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$135,447 Vol.
$135,447 Vol.
17°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$135,447 Vol.
$135,447 Vol.
17°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official meteorological observations from the UK Met Office confirmed a daytime maximum of precisely 20°C in central London on May 20, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to near-certainty. Moderate westerly winds and partly cloudy conditions limited further warming, consistent with short-range forecast models that had converged on a narrow 19–21°C range the prior day. This reading sits slightly above the May climatological average of around 18°C but remains well within historical variability for the season. Final resolution depends on verified station data, though adjustments exceeding 0.5°C are uncommon given the dense observational network.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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