National Weather Service forecasts for north Texas indicate a daily high of 80–82°F in Dallas on May 20, supported by moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and a weak frontal boundary that restricted strong daytime heating. This alignment of atmospheric conditions underpins the market's strong 95.3% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome. Historical May averages near 84°F provide climatological context, yet current model consensus and limited intensification potential keep temperatures within the lower end of typical ranges. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest observational data and steering patterns, with minimal upside risk from unexpected warming. Resolution hinges on the official climatological report from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport, where minor forecast revisions could still shift final readings within the narrow band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Dallas on May 20?
80-81°F 99.4%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$38,127 Vol.
$38,127 Vol.
80-81°F
99%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 99.4%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$38,127 Vol.
$38,127 Vol.
80-81°F
99%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 18, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for north Texas indicate a daily high of 80–82°F in Dallas on May 20, supported by moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and a weak frontal boundary that restricted strong daytime heating. This alignment of atmospheric conditions underpins the market's strong 95.3% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome. Historical May averages near 84°F provide climatological context, yet current model consensus and limited intensification potential keep temperatures within the lower end of typical ranges. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest observational data and steering patterns, with minimal upside risk from unexpected warming. Resolution hinges on the official climatological report from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport, where minor forecast revisions could still shift final readings within the narrow band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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