National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus have positioned Seattle's May 20 high temperature in the mid-60s as the most probable outcome, driving the 60% market-implied odds for 66-67°F. Pacific maritime air and a building high-pressure ridge suppressed afternoon warming, keeping readings near seasonal averages for the Puget Sound region while limiting the chance of stronger solar heating. Ensemble guidance from NOAA showed limited spread around 65-67°F with minimal risk of exceeding 68°F under stable steering patterns. The slim 27.5% probability attached to 68°F or higher reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing, though official observations from Sea-Tac and surrounding stations will determine final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seattle on May 20?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 20?
66-67°F 94%
68°F or higher 24%
58-59°F <1%
$18,342 Vol.
$18,342 Vol.
May 20, 2026
58-59°F
<1%
66-67°F
87%
68°F or higher
24%
66-67°F 94%
68°F or higher 24%
58-59°F <1%
$18,342 Vol.
$18,342 Vol.
May 20, 2026
58-59°F
$1,952 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,886 Vol.
87%
68°F or higher
$3,102 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus have positioned Seattle's May 20 high temperature in the mid-60s as the most probable outcome, driving the 60% market-implied odds for 66-67°F. Pacific maritime air and a building high-pressure ridge suppressed afternoon warming, keeping readings near seasonal averages for the Puget Sound region while limiting the chance of stronger solar heating. Ensemble guidance from NOAA showed limited spread around 65-67°F with minimal risk of exceeding 68°F under stable steering patterns. The slim 27.5% probability attached to 68°F or higher reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing, though official observations from Sea-Tac and surrounding stations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 18, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$18,342Tanggal Berakhir
May 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 18, 2026, 12:11 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Jendela sengketa
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus have positioned Seattle's May 20 high temperature in the mid-60s as the most probable outcome, driving the 60% market-implied odds for 66-67°F. Pacific maritime air and a building high-pressure ridge suppressed afternoon warming, keeping readings near seasonal averages for the Puget Sound region while limiting the chance of stronger solar heating. Ensemble guidance from NOAA showed limited spread around 65-67°F with minimal risk of exceeding 68°F under stable steering patterns. The slim 27.5% probability attached to 68°F or higher reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing, though official observations from Sea-Tac and surrounding stations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,342Tanggal Berakhir
May 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 18, 2026, 12:11 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Jendela sengketa
Final
National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus have positioned Seattle's May 20 high temperature in the mid-60s as the most probable outcome, driving the 60% market-implied odds for 66-67°F. Pacific maritime air and a building high-pressure ridge suppressed afternoon warming, keeping readings near seasonal averages for the Puget Sound region while limiting the chance of stronger solar heating. Ensemble guidance from NOAA showed limited spread around 65-67°F with minimal risk of exceeding 68°F under stable steering patterns. The slim 27.5% probability attached to 68°F or higher reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing, though official observations from Sea-Tac and surrounding stations will determine final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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