Jinan’s August climatology, with average daily highs near 30–32°C and frequent peaks above 35°C according to long-term observations from Chinese meteorological agencies, underpins the near-certain market pricing for a maximum of 26°C or higher on August 19. Short-range numerical weather models and recent surface analyses show persistent warm, humid conditions typical of late summer across Shandong province, with no indications of a significant cold front or heavy cloud cover that would suppress daytime temperatures. While forecast uncertainty remains for exact peak values, the probability of falling below 26°C is historically low in this period. An unexpected shift in steering flow or rapid cooling from organized convection would be required to challenge the consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jinan on August 19?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 19?
26°C or higher 99.6%
18°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.6%
18°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
$130 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$183 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,001 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Jinan’s August climatology, with average daily highs near 30–32°C and frequent peaks above 35°C according to long-term observations from Chinese meteorological agencies, underpins the near-certain market pricing for a maximum of 26°C or higher on August 19. Short-range numerical weather models and recent surface analyses show persistent warm, humid conditions typical of late summer across Shandong province, with no indications of a significant cold front or heavy cloud cover that would suppress daytime temperatures. While forecast uncertainty remains for exact peak values, the probability of falling below 26°C is historically low in this period. An unexpected shift in steering flow or rapid cooling from organized convection would be required to challenge the consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,164Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Jinan’s August climatology, with average daily highs near 30–32°C and frequent peaks above 35°C according to long-term observations from Chinese meteorological agencies, underpins the near-certain market pricing for a maximum of 26°C or higher on August 19. Short-range numerical weather models and recent surface analyses show persistent warm, humid conditions typical of late summer across Shandong province, with no indications of a significant cold front or heavy cloud cover that would suppress daytime temperatures. While forecast uncertainty remains for exact peak values, the probability of falling below 26°C is historically low in this period. An unexpected shift in steering flow or rapid cooling from organized convection would be required to challenge the consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,164Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jinan’s August climatology, with average daily highs near 30–32°C and frequent peaks above 35°C according to long-term observations from Chinese meteorological agencies, underpins the near-certain market pricing for a maximum of 26°C or higher on August 19. Short-range numerical weather models and recent surface analyses show persistent warm, humid conditions typical of late summer across Shandong province, with no indications of a significant cold front or heavy cloud cover that would suppress daytime temperatures. While forecast uncertainty remains for exact peak values, the probability of falling below 26°C is historically low in this period. An unexpected shift in steering flow or rapid cooling from organized convection would be required to challenge the consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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