Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a most likely daily high of 32–33°C in Milan on September 6 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly flow that favors subsidence warming. Current conditions reflect an anomalous early-September heatwave, with recent days exceeding 34°C and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate temperatures. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with only modest cooling signals from upstream Atlantic influences arriving later in the week. Trader positioning favoring 32°C aligns with this evidence-based central tendency, while the narrower probabilities on adjacent outcomes reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges near 1–2°C at this lead time.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on September 6?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 6?
32°C 50%
31°C 31%
33°C 17%
30°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
31%
32°C
50%
33°C
17%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
2%
32°C 50%
31°C 31%
33°C 17%
30°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
27°C or below
$126 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$90 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$103 Vol.
2%
30°C
$68 Vol.
4%
31°C
$632 Vol.
31%
32°C
$244 Vol.
50%
33°C
$182 Vol.
17%
34°C
$69 Vol.
4%
35°C
$131 Vol.
2%
36°C
$100 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a most likely daily high of 32–33°C in Milan on September 6 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly flow that favors subsidence warming. Current conditions reflect an anomalous early-September heatwave, with recent days exceeding 34°C and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate temperatures. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with only modest cooling signals from upstream Atlantic influences arriving later in the week. Trader positioning favoring 32°C aligns with this evidence-based central tendency, while the narrower probabilities on adjacent outcomes reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges near 1–2°C at this lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,744Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a most likely daily high of 32–33°C in Milan on September 6 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly flow that favors subsidence warming. Current conditions reflect an anomalous early-September heatwave, with recent days exceeding 34°C and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate temperatures. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with only modest cooling signals from upstream Atlantic influences arriving later in the week. Trader positioning favoring 32°C aligns with this evidence-based central tendency, while the narrower probabilities on adjacent outcomes reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges near 1–2°C at this lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,744Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a most likely daily high of 32–33°C in Milan on September 6 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly flow that favors subsidence warming. Current conditions reflect an anomalous early-September heatwave, with recent days exceeding 34°C and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate temperatures. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with only modest cooling signals from upstream Atlantic influences arriving later in the week. Trader positioning favoring 32°C aligns with this evidence-based central tendency, while the narrower probabilities on adjacent outcomes reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges near 1–2°C at this lead time.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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