Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus favor a San Francisco high near 70–72°F on August 19, driven by a lingering shallow marine layer and persistent onshore flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. An upper-level ridge may allow modest inland warming and partial clearing, but the sea breeze and stratus typically cap afternoon peaks at KSFO. This keeps the distribution tightly clustered around the leading 70–71°F and 72–73°F brackets, with lower probabilities for 68–69°F if the marine layer strengthens or for 74°F+ if the ridge suppresses fog more than expected. Historical August averages near 68–70°F provide climatological context for the narrow range traders are pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 19?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 19?
70-71°F 33%
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 15%
68-69°F 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
33%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 33%
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 15%
68-69°F 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
65°F or below
$191 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$339 Vol.
6%
68-69°F
$181 Vol.
14%
70-71°F
$152 Vol.
33%
72-73°F
$237 Vol.
28%
74-75°F
$326 Vol.
15%
76-77°F
$205 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$316 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$347 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$20 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus favor a San Francisco high near 70–72°F on August 19, driven by a lingering shallow marine layer and persistent onshore flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. An upper-level ridge may allow modest inland warming and partial clearing, but the sea breeze and stratus typically cap afternoon peaks at KSFO. This keeps the distribution tightly clustered around the leading 70–71°F and 72–73°F brackets, with lower probabilities for 68–69°F if the marine layer strengthens or for 74°F+ if the ridge suppresses fog more than expected. Historical August averages near 68–70°F provide climatological context for the narrow range traders are pricing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$2,338Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus favor a San Francisco high near 70–72°F on August 19, driven by a lingering shallow marine layer and persistent onshore flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. An upper-level ridge may allow modest inland warming and partial clearing, but the sea breeze and stratus typically cap afternoon peaks at KSFO. This keeps the distribution tightly clustered around the leading 70–71°F and 72–73°F brackets, with lower probabilities for 68–69°F if the marine layer strengthens or for 74°F+ if the ridge suppresses fog more than expected. Historical August averages near 68–70°F provide climatological context for the narrow range traders are pricing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,338Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus favor a San Francisco high near 70–72°F on August 19, driven by a lingering shallow marine layer and persistent onshore flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. An upper-level ridge may allow modest inland warming and partial clearing, but the sea breeze and stratus typically cap afternoon peaks at KSFO. This keeps the distribution tightly clustered around the leading 70–71°F and 72–73°F brackets, with lower probabilities for 68–69°F if the marine layer strengthens or for 74°F+ if the ridge suppresses fog more than expected. Historical August averages near 68–70°F provide climatological context for the narrow range traders are pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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