Short-term forecast uncertainty around the marine layer and onshore flow is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds favoring a San Francisco high of 68–71°F on July 23. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show modest afternoon warming as stratus clears, with sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and light winds limiting further rise above the upper 60s. Historical July maxima average near 69°F, but day-to-day variability from coastal eddy timing and inversion strength creates genuine spread across the 66–73°F bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on July 23?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 23?
68-69°F 40%
70-71°F 32%
72-73°F 13%
66-67°F 12%
BARU
$10,600 Vol.
BARU
$10,600 Vol.
Jul 23, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
40%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
3%
76°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 40%
70-71°F 32%
72-73°F 13%
66-67°F 12%
BARU
$10,600 Vol.
BARU
$10,600 Vol.
Jul 23, 2026
57°F or below
$337 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$681 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$320 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$186 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$470 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$546 Vol.
12%
68-69°F
$568 Vol.
40%
70-71°F
$6,140 Vol.
32%
72-73°F
$843 Vol.
13%
74-75°F
$218 Vol.
3%
76°F or higher
$291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty around the marine layer and onshore flow is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds favoring a San Francisco high of 68–71°F on July 23. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show modest afternoon warming as stratus clears, with sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and light winds limiting further rise above the upper 60s. Historical July maxima average near 69°F, but day-to-day variability from coastal eddy timing and inversion strength creates genuine spread across the 66–73°F bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 21, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$10,600Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 21, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty around the marine layer and onshore flow is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds favoring a San Francisco high of 68–71°F on July 23. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show modest afternoon warming as stratus clears, with sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and light winds limiting further rise above the upper 60s. Historical July maxima average near 69°F, but day-to-day variability from coastal eddy timing and inversion strength creates genuine spread across the 66–73°F bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,600Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 21, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast uncertainty around the marine layer and onshore flow is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds favoring a San Francisco high of 68–71°F on July 23. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show modest afternoon warming as stratus clears, with sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and light winds limiting further rise above the upper 60s. Historical July maxima average near 69°F, but day-to-day variability from coastal eddy timing and inversion strength creates genuine spread across the 66–73°F bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan