Short-term forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate peak temperatures at Incheon station near 33–34°C on August 3, driven by lingering summer high pressure promoting strong daytime insolation and warm air advection over the Korean Peninsula. Typical early-August climatology features average highs around 31°C with high humidity, but recent model runs show modest warming from reduced cloud cover and light winds; small variations in sea-breeze timing or afternoon convection could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with 33°C and 34°C outcomes leading as models converge on the threshold without clear signals for extremes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 3?
33°C 35%
34°C 32%
32°C 18%
35°C 14%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
18%
33°C
35%
34°C
32%
35°C
14%
36°C or higher
5%
33°C 35%
34°C 32%
32°C 18%
35°C 14%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
18%
33°C
35%
34°C
32%
35°C
14%
36°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate peak temperatures at Incheon station near 33–34°C on August 3, driven by lingering summer high pressure promoting strong daytime insolation and warm air advection over the Korean Peninsula. Typical early-August climatology features average highs around 31°C with high humidity, but recent model runs show modest warming from reduced cloud cover and light winds; small variations in sea-breeze timing or afternoon convection could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with 33°C and 34°C outcomes leading as models converge on the threshold without clear signals for extremes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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