Short-range ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS show the highest temperature in Seoul on July 12 most likely near 32°C, reflecting midsummer conditions with high humidity, typical North Pacific high influence, and scattered precipitation that can moderate daytime maxima. Model spread arises from uncertainty in cloud cover, rain timing, and any weak frontal features, pushing some solutions toward 30–31°C under heavier showers while clearer or ridge-favored runs reach 34°C or higher. July climatology places average highs near 29–30°C, but recent early-month observations and 2026 seasonal patterns support the market’s tight clustering around the 32°C and 34°C+ bins, with resolution hinging on final observational data from official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul on July 12?
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 12?
32°C 34%
34°C or higher 20%
31°C 19%
33°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Jul 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
9%
31°C
19%
32°C
34%
33°C
16%
34°C or higher
20%
32°C 34%
34°C or higher 20%
31°C 19%
33°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Jul 12, 2026
24°C or below
$506 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$506 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$310 Vol.
3%
29°C
$116 Vol.
7%
30°C
$53 Vol.
9%
31°C
$1,655 Vol.
19%
32°C
$198 Vol.
34%
33°C
$8 Vol.
16%
34°C or higher
$9 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS show the highest temperature in Seoul on July 12 most likely near 32°C, reflecting midsummer conditions with high humidity, typical North Pacific high influence, and scattered precipitation that can moderate daytime maxima. Model spread arises from uncertainty in cloud cover, rain timing, and any weak frontal features, pushing some solutions toward 30–31°C under heavier showers while clearer or ridge-favored runs reach 34°C or higher. July climatology places average highs near 29–30°C, but recent early-month observations and 2026 seasonal patterns support the market’s tight clustering around the 32°C and 34°C+ bins, with resolution hinging on final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$3,538Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS show the highest temperature in Seoul on July 12 most likely near 32°C, reflecting midsummer conditions with high humidity, typical North Pacific high influence, and scattered precipitation that can moderate daytime maxima. Model spread arises from uncertainty in cloud cover, rain timing, and any weak frontal features, pushing some solutions toward 30–31°C under heavier showers while clearer or ridge-favored runs reach 34°C or higher. July climatology places average highs near 29–30°C, but recent early-month observations and 2026 seasonal patterns support the market’s tight clustering around the 32°C and 34°C+ bins, with resolution hinging on final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,538Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS show the highest temperature in Seoul on July 12 most likely near 32°C, reflecting midsummer conditions with high humidity, typical North Pacific high influence, and scattered precipitation that can moderate daytime maxima. Model spread arises from uncertainty in cloud cover, rain timing, and any weak frontal features, pushing some solutions toward 30–31°C under heavier showers while clearer or ridge-favored runs reach 34°C or higher. July climatology places average highs near 29–30°C, but recent early-month observations and 2026 seasonal patterns support the market’s tight clustering around the 32°C and 34°C+ bins, with resolution hinging on final observational data from official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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