Singapore’s Southwest Monsoon regime and emerging El Niño conditions anchor trader expectations near 32–33 °C for July 16. Typical July maxima cluster at 31–33 °C under high humidity and frequent afternoon convection; recent NEA guidance notes daily peaks of 33–34 °C on clearer days, with thundery showers and occasional Sumatra squalls providing localized cooling through reduced insolation and evaporative effects. Market clustering around 31–33 °C reflects model spread in cloud cover and timing of convective initiation, while probabilities above 34 °C remain low absent prolonged clear skies.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Singapore on July 16?
32°C 56%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
30°C 2.3%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
20%
32°C
56%
33°C
24%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
30°C 2.3%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
20%
32°C
56%
33°C
24%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore’s Southwest Monsoon regime and emerging El Niño conditions anchor trader expectations near 32–33 °C for July 16. Typical July maxima cluster at 31–33 °C under high humidity and frequent afternoon convection; recent NEA guidance notes daily peaks of 33–34 °C on clearer days, with thundery showers and occasional Sumatra squalls providing localized cooling through reduced insolation and evaporative effects. Market clustering around 31–33 °C reflects model spread in cloud cover and timing of convective initiation, while probabilities above 34 °C remain low absent prolonged clear skies.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan