Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s July 16 daily maximum, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow limiting extreme heat. Current conditions show partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with mid-July climatology where average maxima reach 28–30°C. Model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any diurnal peak could adjust the recorded high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical outputs heavily given the short forecast horizon and official verification from Turkish meteorological stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on July 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 16?
27°C 51%
28°C 42%
29°C 6%
26°C 2.2%
BARU
BARU
Jul 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
51%
28°C
42%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 42%
29°C 6%
26°C 2.2%
BARU
BARU
Jul 16, 2026
22°C or below
$540 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$514 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$234 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$295 Vol.
1%
26°C
$265 Vol.
2%
27°C
$2,907 Vol.
51%
28°C
$1,803 Vol.
42%
29°C
$263 Vol.
6%
30°C
$245 Vol.
1%
31°C
$216 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$272 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s July 16 daily maximum, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow limiting extreme heat. Current conditions show partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with mid-July climatology where average maxima reach 28–30°C. Model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any diurnal peak could adjust the recorded high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical outputs heavily given the short forecast horizon and official verification from Turkish meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,554Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s July 16 daily maximum, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow limiting extreme heat. Current conditions show partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with mid-July climatology where average maxima reach 28–30°C. Model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any diurnal peak could adjust the recorded high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical outputs heavily given the short forecast horizon and official verification from Turkish meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,554Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s July 16 daily maximum, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow limiting extreme heat. Current conditions show partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with mid-July climatology where average maxima reach 28–30°C. Model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any diurnal peak could adjust the recorded high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical outputs heavily given the short forecast horizon and official verification from Turkish meteorological stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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