Recent ensemble forecasts from global models and the Israel Meteorological Service indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting a daily maximum near 30–32°C in Tel Aviv on July 16 with limited diurnal variability due to coastal sea breezes. Climatological normals for mid-July place typical highs at 30–31°C, and current runs show no heat advection or subsidence strengthening that would push readings to 33°C or above. The 32°C outcome leads at 61% implied probability because multiple model solutions cluster there, while the 31°C bracket at 30% reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of peak heating. Traders are monitoring updated NWP runs and official IMS guidance through the next 48 hours, as small shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could alter the final maximum by 1–2°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 16?
32°C 62%
31°C 23%
33°C 16%
30°C 1.0%
BARU
BARU
Jul 16, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
23%
32°C
62%
33°C
16%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 62%
31°C 23%
33°C 16%
30°C 1.0%
BARU
BARU
Jul 16, 2026
28°C or below
$458 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$452 Vol.
1%
30°C
$464 Vol.
1%
31°C
$973 Vol.
23%
32°C
$1,250 Vol.
62%
33°C
$1,166 Vol.
16%
34°C
$388 Vol.
1%
35°C
$508 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,043 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$743 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$823 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models and the Israel Meteorological Service indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting a daily maximum near 30–32°C in Tel Aviv on July 16 with limited diurnal variability due to coastal sea breezes. Climatological normals for mid-July place typical highs at 30–31°C, and current runs show no heat advection or subsidence strengthening that would push readings to 33°C or above. The 32°C outcome leads at 61% implied probability because multiple model solutions cluster there, while the 31°C bracket at 30% reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of peak heating. Traders are monitoring updated NWP runs and official IMS guidance through the next 48 hours, as small shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could alter the final maximum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$8,268Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models and the Israel Meteorological Service indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting a daily maximum near 30–32°C in Tel Aviv on July 16 with limited diurnal variability due to coastal sea breezes. Climatological normals for mid-July place typical highs at 30–31°C, and current runs show no heat advection or subsidence strengthening that would push readings to 33°C or above. The 32°C outcome leads at 61% implied probability because multiple model solutions cluster there, while the 31°C bracket at 30% reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of peak heating. Traders are monitoring updated NWP runs and official IMS guidance through the next 48 hours, as small shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could alter the final maximum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,268Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models and the Israel Meteorological Service indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting a daily maximum near 30–32°C in Tel Aviv on July 16 with limited diurnal variability due to coastal sea breezes. Climatological normals for mid-July place typical highs at 30–31°C, and current runs show no heat advection or subsidence strengthening that would push readings to 33°C or above. The 32°C outcome leads at 61% implied probability because multiple model solutions cluster there, while the 31°C bracket at 30% reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of peak heating. Traders are monitoring updated NWP runs and official IMS guidance through the next 48 hours, as small shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could alter the final maximum by 1–2°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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