Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international agencies indicate a high near 30–32°C for Zhengzhou on August 18, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and light southerly flow that limits daytime mixing while allowing for scattered showers or overcast skies. These conditions align with late-summer climatology in the North China Plain, where average August maxima hover near 31–33°C but frequently moderate under cloud cover or light precipitation, explaining why the 32°C-or-higher and 30°C outcomes command the strongest market-implied probabilities. Recent model runs show little shift from yesterday’s guidance, with no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture surges expected before the 24-hour verification window closes, keeping trader consensus anchored on the upper end of the typical daily range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 18?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 18?
32°C or higher 45%
30°C 19%
26°C 10%
27°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
10%
27°C
10%
28°C
10%
29°C
10%
30°C
19%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
45%
32°C or higher 45%
30°C 19%
26°C 10%
27°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
$6 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5 Vol.
6%
25°C
$6 Vol.
1%
26°C
$11 Vol.
10%
27°C
$11 Vol.
10%
28°C
$1 Vol.
10%
29°C
$1 Vol.
10%
30°C
$1 Vol.
19%
31°C
$12 Vol.
19%
32°C or higher
$20 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international agencies indicate a high near 30–32°C for Zhengzhou on August 18, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and light southerly flow that limits daytime mixing while allowing for scattered showers or overcast skies. These conditions align with late-summer climatology in the North China Plain, where average August maxima hover near 31–33°C but frequently moderate under cloud cover or light precipitation, explaining why the 32°C-or-higher and 30°C outcomes command the strongest market-implied probabilities. Recent model runs show little shift from yesterday’s guidance, with no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture surges expected before the 24-hour verification window closes, keeping trader consensus anchored on the upper end of the typical daily range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$81Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international agencies indicate a high near 30–32°C for Zhengzhou on August 18, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and light southerly flow that limits daytime mixing while allowing for scattered showers or overcast skies. These conditions align with late-summer climatology in the North China Plain, where average August maxima hover near 31–33°C but frequently moderate under cloud cover or light precipitation, explaining why the 32°C-or-higher and 30°C outcomes command the strongest market-implied probabilities. Recent model runs show little shift from yesterday’s guidance, with no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture surges expected before the 24-hour verification window closes, keeping trader consensus anchored on the upper end of the typical daily range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$81Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international agencies indicate a high near 30–32°C for Zhengzhou on August 18, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and light southerly flow that limits daytime mixing while allowing for scattered showers or overcast skies. These conditions align with late-summer climatology in the North China Plain, where average August maxima hover near 31–33°C but frequently moderate under cloud cover or light precipitation, explaining why the 32°C-or-higher and 30°C outcomes command the strongest market-implied probabilities. Recent model runs show little shift from yesterday’s guidance, with no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture surges expected before the 24-hour verification window closes, keeping trader consensus anchored on the upper end of the typical daily range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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