Recent April FOMC communications, including an 8-4 vote that produced the most dissents since 1992, have shaped trader expectations for the June 16-17 meeting. Three regional presidents opposed language implying the next policy move would be a cut, citing elevated inflation risks from higher energy prices amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, while one favored an immediate 25-basis-point reduction. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75 percent and labor-market data remaining resilient, markets now price an overwhelming 71 percent chance of unanimous support for holding rates and maintaining neutral forward guidance. This consensus reflects diminished prospects for renewed statement-level friction ahead of the next Summary of Economic Projections.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHow many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 71%
1 17%
2 7%
3 6%
$19,466 Vol.
$19,466 Vol.
0
71%
1
17%
2
7%
3
6%
4+
2%
0 71%
1 17%
2 7%
3 6%
$19,466 Vol.
$19,466 Vol.
0
71%
1
17%
2
7%
3
6%
4+
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April FOMC communications, including an 8-4 vote that produced the most dissents since 1992, have shaped trader expectations for the June 16-17 meeting. Three regional presidents opposed language implying the next policy move would be a cut, citing elevated inflation risks from higher energy prices amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, while one favored an immediate 25-basis-point reduction. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75 percent and labor-market data remaining resilient, markets now price an overwhelming 71 percent chance of unanimous support for holding rates and maintaining neutral forward guidance. This consensus reflects diminished prospects for renewed statement-level friction ahead of the next Summary of Economic Projections.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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