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Ekonomi·Indikator Makro

How many jobs added in May?

icon for How many jobs added in May?
Ekonomi·Indikator Makro

How many jobs added in May?

Jun 5

Jun 5

100k – 150k 41%

150k – 200k 30%

200k+ 22%

50k – 100k 22%

Polymarket
BARU

100k – 150k 41%

150k – 200k 30%

200k+ 22%

50k – 100k 22%

Polymarket
BARU

<0

$138 Vol.

15%

0 – 50k

$75 Vol.

32%

50k – 100k

$60 Vol.

17%

100k – 150k

$74 Vol.

28%

150k – 200k

$38 Vol.

30%

200k+

$38 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent April nonfarm payrolls added 115,000 jobs, beating consensus forecasts of 55,000–65,000 yet marking a clear step down from March’s 185,000 gain and leaving the unemployment rate steady at 4.3 percent. This mixed print, combined with decelerating job openings, tariff-related uncertainty, and accelerating AI-driven productivity shifts, has left traders divided on May outcomes. The near-even split between the 0–50k and 150–200k brackets reflects competing views on whether labor-market cooling will intensify or give way to a rebound ahead of the June 5 release. Market-implied odds continue to price in substantial dispersion around the consensus range of 70,000–100,000, underscoring the sensitivity of positioning to incoming data on claims, wage growth, and sector-specific hiring trends.

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volume
$424
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 8, 2026, 12:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent April nonfarm payrolls added 115,000 jobs, beating consensus forecasts of 55,000–65,000 yet marking a clear step down from March’s 185,000 gain and leaving the unemployment rate steady at 4.3 percent. This mixed print, combined with decelerating job openings, tariff-related uncertainty, and accelerating AI-driven productivity shifts, has left traders divided on May outcomes. The near-even split between the 0–50k and 150–200k brackets reflects competing views on whether labor-market cooling will intensify or give way to a rebound ahead of the June 5 release. Market-implied odds continue to price in substantial dispersion around the consensus range of 70,000–100,000, underscoring the sensitivity of positioning to incoming data on claims, wage growth, and sector-specific hiring trends.

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volume
$424
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 8, 2026, 12:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"How many jobs added in May?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "0 – 50k" di 32%, diikuti oleh "150k – 200k" di 30%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 32¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 32% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"How many jobs added in May?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada May 8, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "How many jobs added in May?," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "How many jobs added in May?" adalah "0 – 50k" di 32%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 32% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "150k – 200k" di 30%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "How many jobs added in May?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.