Ruling Democratic Party of Korea candidates enter the June 3 local elections with strong national momentum from President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings above 60 percent and unified control of the presidency and National Assembly. Recent polls show DP frontrunners holding double-digit leads in contested Seoul and Busan mayoral races, while several former PPP strongholds appear vulnerable. With all 17 metropolitan mayor and governor seats at stake, trader focus centers on a handful of tight contests that could swing the final tally by one or two seats. This dynamic keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched between 11 and 14 wins, reflecting uncertainty over turnout among key urban and regional voting blocs and any late shifts in local campaign dynamics.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHow many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?
How many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?
13 31%
12 24%
11 21.2%
14 16%
BARU
BARU
Jun 3, 2026
≤10
10%
11
21%
12
24%
13
31%
14
16%
15
11%
≥16
1%
13 31%
12 24%
11 21.2%
14 16%
BARU
BARU
Jun 3, 2026
≤10
$4,272 Vol.
10%
11
$465 Vol.
21%
12
$478 Vol.
24%
13
$843 Vol.
31%
14
$1,130 Vol.
16%
15
$620 Vol.
11%
≥16
$743 Vol.
1%
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Ruling Democratic Party of Korea candidates enter the June 3 local elections with strong national momentum from President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings above 60 percent and unified control of the presidency and National Assembly. Recent polls show DP frontrunners holding double-digit leads in contested Seoul and Busan mayoral races, while several former PPP strongholds appear vulnerable. With all 17 metropolitan mayor and governor seats at stake, trader focus centers on a handful of tight contests that could swing the final tally by one or two seats. This dynamic keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched between 11 and 14 wins, reflecting uncertainty over turnout among key urban and regional voting blocs and any late shifts in local campaign dynamics.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Volume
$8,551Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Ruling Democratic Party of Korea candidates enter the June 3 local elections with strong national momentum from President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings above 60 percent and unified control of the presidency and National Assembly. Recent polls show DP frontrunners holding double-digit leads in contested Seoul and Busan mayoral races, while several former PPP strongholds appear vulnerable. With all 17 metropolitan mayor and governor seats at stake, trader focus centers on a handful of tight contests that could swing the final tally by one or two seats. This dynamic keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched between 11 and 14 wins, reflecting uncertainty over turnout among key urban and regional voting blocs and any late shifts in local campaign dynamics.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Volume
$8,551Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ruling Democratic Party of Korea candidates enter the June 3 local elections with strong national momentum from President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings above 60 percent and unified control of the presidency and National Assembly. Recent polls show DP frontrunners holding double-digit leads in contested Seoul and Busan mayoral races, while several former PPP strongholds appear vulnerable. With all 17 metropolitan mayor and governor seats at stake, trader focus centers on a handful of tight contests that could swing the final tally by one or two seats. This dynamic keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched between 11 and 14 wins, reflecting uncertainty over turnout among key urban and regional voting blocs and any late shifts in local campaign dynamics.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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