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Politik·House Primary

IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·House Primary

IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Christina Bohannan 93.8%

Travis Terrell 4.0%

Taylor Wettach 2.1%

Polymarket

$20,159 Vol.

Christina Bohannan 93.8%

Travis Terrell 4.0%

Taylor Wettach 2.1%

Polymarket

$20,159 Vol.

Christina Bohannan

$14,317 Vol.

94%

Travis Terrell

$2,583 Vol.

4%

Taylor Wettach

$3,258 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Christina Bohannan's commanding 94% trader consensus in the IA-01 Democratic primary stems from her status as the 2024 nominee who nearly flipped the Republican-held seat by 799 votes, bolstered by massive fundraising—$5.1 million raised and $4 million cash on hand through March—versus challenger Travis Terrell's $19,000. The DCCC's February "Red to Blue" endorsement and Taylor Wettach's January withdrawal to run for state auditor have consolidated establishment support ahead of the June 2 closed primary. Terrell's progressive pitch on Medicare for All and labor rights draws a left-wing push amid health care debates, but his resource gap limits viability. An upset would require a Bohannan scandal, gaffe, or anomalous progressive turnout surge in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$20,159
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Christina Bohannan's commanding 94% trader consensus in the IA-01 Democratic primary stems from her status as the 2024 nominee who nearly flipped the Republican-held seat by 799 votes, bolstered by massive fundraising—$5.1 million raised and $4 million cash on hand through March—versus challenger Travis Terrell's $19,000. The DCCC's February "Red to Blue" endorsement and Taylor Wettach's January withdrawal to run for state auditor have consolidated establishment support ahead of the June 2 closed primary. Terrell's progressive pitch on Medicare for All and labor rights draws a left-wing push amid health care debates, but his resource gap limits viability. An upset would require a Bohannan scandal, gaffe, or anomalous progressive turnout surge in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$20,159
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Christina Bohannan" di 94%, diikuti oleh "Travis Terrell" di 4%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 94¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 94% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $20.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Feb 25, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Christina Bohannan" di 94%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 94% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Travis Terrell" di 4%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.