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Pemilihan Umum·Pennsylvania Primary

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Pennsylvania Primary

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bob Brooks 79%

Carol Obando-Derstine 12.4%

Ryan Crosswell 6.4%

Lamont McClure 4.5%

Polymarket

$26,116 Vol.

Bob Brooks 79%

Carol Obando-Derstine 12.4%

Ryan Crosswell 6.4%

Lamont McClure 4.5%

Polymarket

$26,116 Vol.

Bob Brooks

$4,362 Vol.

79%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$5,649 Vol.

12%

Ryan Crosswell

$4,714 Vol.

14%

Lamont McClure

$5,979 Vol.

5%

Lewis Shupe

$3,265 Vol.

<1%

Aiden Gonzalez

$2,147 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the PA-07 Democratic primary, set for May 19, heavily favors Bob Brooks at 79.5% implied probability, propelled by his recent consolidation of establishment support including endorsements from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, Governor Josh Shapiro, and Bernie Sanders, plus strong leads in tracking polls like the Stronger Together survey and backing from the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association. This working-class Lehigh Valley firefighter has maintained momentum despite a May 4 controversy over his claim that Shapiro urged a Republican endorsement in the 2024 treasurer race, which drew attacks from rivals. Ryan Crosswell trails at 14.8% emphasizing Marine service and federal experience, while Carol Obando-Derstine holds 12.9% with Emily's List support; recent debates have remained mild amid national attention on this battleground district race against incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$26,116
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the PA-07 Democratic primary, set for May 19, heavily favors Bob Brooks at 79.5% implied probability, propelled by his recent consolidation of establishment support including endorsements from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, Governor Josh Shapiro, and Bernie Sanders, plus strong leads in tracking polls like the Stronger Together survey and backing from the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association. This working-class Lehigh Valley firefighter has maintained momentum despite a May 4 controversy over his claim that Shapiro urged a Republican endorsement in the 2024 treasurer race, which drew attacks from rivals. Ryan Crosswell trails at 14.8% emphasizing Marine service and federal experience, while Carol Obando-Derstine holds 12.9% with Emily's List support; recent debates have remained mild amid national attention on this battleground district race against incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$26,116
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Bob Brooks" di 79%, diikuti oleh "Ryan Crosswell" di 14%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 79¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 79% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $26.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Mar 20, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Bob Brooks" di 79%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 79% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Ryan Crosswell" di 14%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.