The Illinois 9th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, with former Representative Jan Schakowsky securing reelection by margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Following her retirement, the March 2026 Democratic primary produced Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss as nominee after a competitive but contained contest against several challengers. The seat carries a strong Democratic partisan lean rooted in its North Shore Chicago suburban composition, consistent voter turnout patterns, and historical election results. Republican nominee John Elleson faces structural headwinds typical of challengers in this district, including fundraising gaps and limited name recognition. Trader consensus at 93.5% Democratic reflects these baseline dynamics. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment, or shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, though each remains low-probability based on current evidence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIL-09 House Election Winner
IL-09 House Election Winner
$26,977 Vol.
$26,977 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$26,977 Vol.
$26,977 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,936 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$10,041 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, with former Representative Jan Schakowsky securing reelection by margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Following her retirement, the March 2026 Democratic primary produced Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss as nominee after a competitive but contained contest against several challengers. The seat carries a strong Democratic partisan lean rooted in its North Shore Chicago suburban composition, consistent voter turnout patterns, and historical election results. Republican nominee John Elleson faces structural headwinds typical of challengers in this district, including fundraising gaps and limited name recognition. Trader consensus at 93.5% Democratic reflects these baseline dynamics. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment, or shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, though each remains low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$26,977Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, with former Representative Jan Schakowsky securing reelection by margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Following her retirement, the March 2026 Democratic primary produced Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss as nominee after a competitive but contained contest against several challengers. The seat carries a strong Democratic partisan lean rooted in its North Shore Chicago suburban composition, consistent voter turnout patterns, and historical election results. Republican nominee John Elleson faces structural headwinds typical of challengers in this district, including fundraising gaps and limited name recognition. Trader consensus at 93.5% Democratic reflects these baseline dynamics. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment, or shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, though each remains low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,977Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 9th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, with former Representative Jan Schakowsky securing reelection by margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Following her retirement, the March 2026 Democratic primary produced Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss as nominee after a competitive but contained contest against several challengers. The seat carries a strong Democratic partisan lean rooted in its North Shore Chicago suburban composition, consistent voter turnout patterns, and historical election results. Republican nominee John Elleson faces structural headwinds typical of challengers in this district, including fundraising gaps and limited name recognition. Trader consensus at 93.5% Democratic reflects these baseline dynamics. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment, or shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, though each remains low-probability based on current evidence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan