Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election place Likud in a narrow band of roughly 21–25 seats, reflecting sustained competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and broader opposition consolidation. Internal Likud primaries, coalition strains over security policy, and lingering effects from the judicial overhaul have contributed to modest erosion of support relative to 2022 results. Trader consensus on the 20–29 seat outcomes aligns with this polling range, where small shifts in turnout among right-wing or centrist blocs or late security developments could alter the distribution. Primary results and any major diplomatic or military moves before the vote remain key variables that could widen or narrow the probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIsrael Election: Likud # of seats?
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.6%
30-34 16%
$99,030 Vol.
$99,030 Vol.
Oct 27, 2026
<20
19%
20-24
33%
25-29
35%
30-34
16%
35+
4%
25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.6%
30-34 16%
$99,030 Vol.
$99,030 Vol.
Oct 27, 2026
<20
$32,968 Vol.
19%
20-24
$15,417 Vol.
33%
25-29
$24,072 Vol.
35%
30-34
$18,387 Vol.
16%
35+
$8,186 Vol.
4%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election place Likud in a narrow band of roughly 21–25 seats, reflecting sustained competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and broader opposition consolidation. Internal Likud primaries, coalition strains over security policy, and lingering effects from the judicial overhaul have contributed to modest erosion of support relative to 2022 results. Trader consensus on the 20–29 seat outcomes aligns with this polling range, where small shifts in turnout among right-wing or centrist blocs or late security developments could alter the distribution. Primary results and any major diplomatic or military moves before the vote remain key variables that could widen or narrow the probabilities.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volume
$99,030Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election place Likud in a narrow band of roughly 21–25 seats, reflecting sustained competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and broader opposition consolidation. Internal Likud primaries, coalition strains over security policy, and lingering effects from the judicial overhaul have contributed to modest erosion of support relative to 2022 results. Trader consensus on the 20–29 seat outcomes aligns with this polling range, where small shifts in turnout among right-wing or centrist blocs or late security developments could alter the distribution. Primary results and any major diplomatic or military moves before the vote remain key variables that could widen or narrow the probabilities.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$99,030Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election place Likud in a narrow band of roughly 21–25 seats, reflecting sustained competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and broader opposition consolidation. Internal Likud primaries, coalition strains over security policy, and lingering effects from the judicial overhaul have contributed to modest erosion of support relative to 2022 results. Trader consensus on the 20–29 seat outcomes aligns with this polling range, where small shifts in turnout among right-wing or centrist blocs or late security developments could alter the distribution. Primary results and any major diplomatic or military moves before the vote remain key variables that could widen or narrow the probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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