Recent Israeli polls place Likud at 21–23 Knesset seats, closely trailing or tying Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party while Netanyahu’s broader coalition hovers near or below 50 seats. This positioning reflects ongoing voter fragmentation driven by security concerns from the Gaza conflict, internal Likud primaries, and the emergence of centrist and right-leaning challengers seeking to form an alternative government ahead of the October 27 election. Traders’ concentration on the 20–29 seat bands captures the narrow range across mainstream surveys, with limited upside for Likud given difficulties consolidating religious and nationalist support. Key variables that could shift the distribution include escalation or de-escalation in hostilities, changes in ultra-Orthodox draft policies, or last-minute realignments among smaller parties that affect bloc totals.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIsrael Election: Likud # of seats?
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.8%
30-34 16%
$99,080 Vol.
$99,080 Vol.
Oct 27, 2026
<20
19%
20-24
33%
25-29
35%
30-34
16%
35+
3%
25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.8%
30-34 16%
$99,080 Vol.
$99,080 Vol.
Oct 27, 2026
<20
$33,017 Vol.
19%
20-24
$15,417 Vol.
33%
25-29
$24,072 Vol.
35%
30-34
$18,387 Vol.
16%
35+
$8,186 Vol.
3%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli polls place Likud at 21–23 Knesset seats, closely trailing or tying Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party while Netanyahu’s broader coalition hovers near or below 50 seats. This positioning reflects ongoing voter fragmentation driven by security concerns from the Gaza conflict, internal Likud primaries, and the emergence of centrist and right-leaning challengers seeking to form an alternative government ahead of the October 27 election. Traders’ concentration on the 20–29 seat bands captures the narrow range across mainstream surveys, with limited upside for Likud given difficulties consolidating religious and nationalist support. Key variables that could shift the distribution include escalation or de-escalation in hostilities, changes in ultra-Orthodox draft policies, or last-minute realignments among smaller parties that affect bloc totals.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volume
$99,080Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli polls place Likud at 21–23 Knesset seats, closely trailing or tying Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party while Netanyahu’s broader coalition hovers near or below 50 seats. This positioning reflects ongoing voter fragmentation driven by security concerns from the Gaza conflict, internal Likud primaries, and the emergence of centrist and right-leaning challengers seeking to form an alternative government ahead of the October 27 election. Traders’ concentration on the 20–29 seat bands captures the narrow range across mainstream surveys, with limited upside for Likud given difficulties consolidating religious and nationalist support. Key variables that could shift the distribution include escalation or de-escalation in hostilities, changes in ultra-Orthodox draft policies, or last-minute realignments among smaller parties that affect bloc totals.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$99,080Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Israeli polls place Likud at 21–23 Knesset seats, closely trailing or tying Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party while Netanyahu’s broader coalition hovers near or below 50 seats. This positioning reflects ongoing voter fragmentation driven by security concerns from the Gaza conflict, internal Likud primaries, and the emergence of centrist and right-leaning challengers seeking to form an alternative government ahead of the October 27 election. Traders’ concentration on the 20–29 seat bands captures the narrow range across mainstream surveys, with limited upside for Likud given difficulties consolidating religious and nationalist support. Key variables that could shift the distribution include escalation or de-escalation in hostilities, changes in ultra-Orthodox draft policies, or last-minute realignments among smaller parties that affect bloc totals.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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