Current short-range forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory point to overnight lows of 26–28°C on August 19, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, frequent showers, and cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August minima average near 26–27°C, with recent seasonal outlooks indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 27°C (36.5%) and 28°C (25.5%) probabilities, aligns closely with these model runs, while lower odds on 25°C or below account for uncertainty in exact cloud timing or any localized rain-cooled air masses. No major tropical systems or cold-air intrusions are currently projected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
27°C 37%
26°C 24%
28°C 24%
25°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
13%
26°C
24%
27°C
37%
28°C
24%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
26°C 24%
28°C 24%
25°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
$99 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$141 Vol.
1%
24°C
$202 Vol.
3%
25°C
$154 Vol.
13%
26°C
$406 Vol.
24%
27°C
$227 Vol.
37%
28°C
$295 Vol.
24%
29°C
$40 Vol.
3%
30°C
$223 Vol.
2%
31°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory point to overnight lows of 26–28°C on August 19, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, frequent showers, and cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August minima average near 26–27°C, with recent seasonal outlooks indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 27°C (36.5%) and 28°C (25.5%) probabilities, aligns closely with these model runs, while lower odds on 25°C or below account for uncertainty in exact cloud timing or any localized rain-cooled air masses. No major tropical systems or cold-air intrusions are currently projected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,971Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory point to overnight lows of 26–28°C on August 19, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, frequent showers, and cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August minima average near 26–27°C, with recent seasonal outlooks indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 27°C (36.5%) and 28°C (25.5%) probabilities, aligns closely with these model runs, while lower odds on 25°C or below account for uncertainty in exact cloud timing or any localized rain-cooled air masses. No major tropical systems or cold-air intrusions are currently projected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,971Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory point to overnight lows of 26–28°C on August 19, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, frequent showers, and cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August minima average near 26–27°C, with recent seasonal outlooks indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 27°C (36.5%) and 28°C (25.5%) probabilities, aligns closely with these model runs, while lower odds on 25°C or below account for uncertainty in exact cloud timing or any localized rain-cooled air masses. No major tropical systems or cold-air intrusions are currently projected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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