Recent model consensus from sources including regional forecasts projects an overnight minimum near 27°C in Shanghai on August 24, driven by lingering cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light rain or drizzle associated with the East Asian monsoon pattern. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the subtropical city, where overnight lows average 26–28°C amid high dew points and weak steering flows. Current observations show persistent moisture from recent showers, limiting radiative cooling and supporting the 27°C and 28°C outcomes that dominate market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of the overnight period.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
27°C 56%
28°C 27%
26°C 13%
29°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
13%
27°C
44%
28°C
27%
29°C
11%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
4%
27°C 56%
28°C 27%
26°C 13%
29°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
4%
24°C
$92 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C
$40 Vol.
13%
27°C
$84 Vol.
44%
28°C
$71 Vol.
27%
29°C
$77 Vol.
11%
30°C
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
6%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including regional forecasts projects an overnight minimum near 27°C in Shanghai on August 24, driven by lingering cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light rain or drizzle associated with the East Asian monsoon pattern. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the subtropical city, where overnight lows average 26–28°C amid high dew points and weak steering flows. Current observations show persistent moisture from recent showers, limiting radiative cooling and supporting the 27°C and 28°C outcomes that dominate market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$389Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including regional forecasts projects an overnight minimum near 27°C in Shanghai on August 24, driven by lingering cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light rain or drizzle associated with the East Asian monsoon pattern. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the subtropical city, where overnight lows average 26–28°C amid high dew points and weak steering flows. Current observations show persistent moisture from recent showers, limiting radiative cooling and supporting the 27°C and 28°C outcomes that dominate market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$389Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including regional forecasts projects an overnight minimum near 27°C in Shanghai on August 24, driven by lingering cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light rain or drizzle associated with the East Asian monsoon pattern. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the subtropical city, where overnight lows average 26–28°C amid high dew points and weak steering flows. Current observations show persistent moisture from recent showers, limiting radiative cooling and supporting the 27°C and 28°C outcomes that dominate market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of the overnight period.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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