Recent official and model consensus forecasts for Shanghai indicate a minimum temperature of 27–28°C on August 23, driven by a persistent warm, humid maritime air mass with southeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover plus light rain or showers. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points near 26–27°C. Historical August minima average 24–25°C, but current patterns show 1–3°C positive anomalies consistent with recent observations. Market-implied odds align closely with this guidance, assigning over 90% combined probability to 27°C or 28°C while downweighting cooler outcomes below 26°C. Further refinement will come from updated runs of global and regional models ahead of the overnight period.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
27°C 54%
28°C 41%
26°C 6%
25°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
54%
28°C
41%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 54%
28°C 41%
26°C 6%
25°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
$43 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$180 Vol.
2%
25°C
$106 Vol.
3%
26°C
$90 Vol.
6%
27°C
$3,280 Vol.
54%
28°C
$421 Vol.
41%
29°C
$34 Vol.
1%
30°C
$29 Vol.
1%
31°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$77 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and model consensus forecasts for Shanghai indicate a minimum temperature of 27–28°C on August 23, driven by a persistent warm, humid maritime air mass with southeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover plus light rain or showers. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points near 26–27°C. Historical August minima average 24–25°C, but current patterns show 1–3°C positive anomalies consistent with recent observations. Market-implied odds align closely with this guidance, assigning over 90% combined probability to 27°C or 28°C while downweighting cooler outcomes below 26°C. Further refinement will come from updated runs of global and regional models ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,447Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and model consensus forecasts for Shanghai indicate a minimum temperature of 27–28°C on August 23, driven by a persistent warm, humid maritime air mass with southeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover plus light rain or showers. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points near 26–27°C. Historical August minima average 24–25°C, but current patterns show 1–3°C positive anomalies consistent with recent observations. Market-implied odds align closely with this guidance, assigning over 90% combined probability to 27°C or 28°C while downweighting cooler outcomes below 26°C. Further refinement will come from updated runs of global and regional models ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,447Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official and model consensus forecasts for Shanghai indicate a minimum temperature of 27–28°C on August 23, driven by a persistent warm, humid maritime air mass with southeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover plus light rain or showers. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points near 26–27°C. Historical August minima average 24–25°C, but current patterns show 1–3°C positive anomalies consistent with recent observations. Market-implied odds align closely with this guidance, assigning over 90% combined probability to 27°C or 28°C while downweighting cooler outcomes below 26°C. Further refinement will come from updated runs of global and regional models ahead of the overnight period.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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