Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tokyo on August 20, supported by model consensus showing mostly cloudy skies, light rain chances, and no strong cooling fronts. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology where urban heat retention and high humidity prevent lows from dropping below seasonal norms of 24–25°C. Trader emphasis on the 25°C outcome reflects stable atmospheric patterns and limited variability in ensemble runs, while slightly warmer or cooler probabilities account for potential shifts in cloud cover or localized showers that could nudge overnight readings by 1–2°C. Updated model guidance and JMA briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 20?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 20?
25°C 48%
24°C 24%
26°C 18%
23°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 20, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
24%
25°C
48%
26°C
18%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 48%
24°C 24%
26°C 18%
23°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 20, 2026
20°C or below
$9 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$40 Vol.
1%
22°C
$4 Vol.
3%
23°C
$9 Vol.
6%
24°C
$4 Vol.
24%
25°C
$91 Vol.
48%
26°C
$16 Vol.
18%
27°C
$51 Vol.
5%
28°C
$25 Vol.
1%
29°C
$263 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$454 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tokyo on August 20, supported by model consensus showing mostly cloudy skies, light rain chances, and no strong cooling fronts. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology where urban heat retention and high humidity prevent lows from dropping below seasonal norms of 24–25°C. Trader emphasis on the 25°C outcome reflects stable atmospheric patterns and limited variability in ensemble runs, while slightly warmer or cooler probabilities account for potential shifts in cloud cover or localized showers that could nudge overnight readings by 1–2°C. Updated model guidance and JMA briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$963Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tokyo on August 20, supported by model consensus showing mostly cloudy skies, light rain chances, and no strong cooling fronts. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology where urban heat retention and high humidity prevent lows from dropping below seasonal norms of 24–25°C. Trader emphasis on the 25°C outcome reflects stable atmospheric patterns and limited variability in ensemble runs, while slightly warmer or cooler probabilities account for potential shifts in cloud cover or localized showers that could nudge overnight readings by 1–2°C. Updated model guidance and JMA briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$963Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tokyo on August 20, supported by model consensus showing mostly cloudy skies, light rain chances, and no strong cooling fronts. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology where urban heat retention and high humidity prevent lows from dropping below seasonal norms of 24–25°C. Trader emphasis on the 25°C outcome reflects stable atmospheric patterns and limited variability in ensemble runs, while slightly warmer or cooler probabilities account for potential shifts in cloud cover or localized showers that could nudge overnight readings by 1–2°C. Updated model guidance and JMA briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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