**Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. federal charges of narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons offenses following his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces during Operation Absolute Resolve and transfer to custody in New York.** He and his wife pleaded not guilty, with a June 2027 trial date set in the Southern District of New York. The narrow gap between 60+ years (38.5%) and no prison time (35.5%) stems from uncertainty over conviction likelihood, sentencing severity under the statutes, potential plea negotiations, and possible diplomatic or political resolutions amid Venezuela’s interim leadership transition. Precedent from cases like Manuel Noriega informs trader assessments of head-of-state immunity claims and extradition dynamics, while upcoming court proceedings and any administration signals on enforcement could shift the balance before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWaktu Penjara Maduro?
Waktu Penjara Maduro?
60+ 39%
Tidak ada hukuman penjara 36%
20–40 7.5%
40–60 6.7%
$666,514 Vol.
$666,514 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Tidak ada hukuman penjara
36%
<20
7%
20–40
8%
40–60
7%
60+
39%
60+ 39%
Tidak ada hukuman penjara 36%
20–40 7.5%
40–60 6.7%
$666,514 Vol.
$666,514 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Tidak ada hukuman penjara
$436,033 Vol.
36%
<20
$104,674 Vol.
7%
20–40
$55,710 Vol.
8%
40–60
$23,835 Vol.
7%
60+
$46,262 Vol.
39%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. federal charges of narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons offenses following his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces during Operation Absolute Resolve and transfer to custody in New York.** He and his wife pleaded not guilty, with a June 2027 trial date set in the Southern District of New York. The narrow gap between 60+ years (38.5%) and no prison time (35.5%) stems from uncertainty over conviction likelihood, sentencing severity under the statutes, potential plea negotiations, and possible diplomatic or political resolutions amid Venezuela’s interim leadership transition. Precedent from cases like Manuel Noriega informs trader assessments of head-of-state immunity claims and extradition dynamics, while upcoming court proceedings and any administration signals on enforcement could shift the balance before resolution.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
Volume
$666,514Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. federal charges of narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons offenses following his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces during Operation Absolute Resolve and transfer to custody in New York.** He and his wife pleaded not guilty, with a June 2027 trial date set in the Southern District of New York. The narrow gap between 60+ years (38.5%) and no prison time (35.5%) stems from uncertainty over conviction likelihood, sentencing severity under the statutes, potential plea negotiations, and possible diplomatic or political resolutions amid Venezuela’s interim leadership transition. Precedent from cases like Manuel Noriega informs trader assessments of head-of-state immunity claims and extradition dynamics, while upcoming court proceedings and any administration signals on enforcement could shift the balance before resolution.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$666,514Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. federal charges of narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons offenses following his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces during Operation Absolute Resolve and transfer to custody in New York.** He and his wife pleaded not guilty, with a June 2027 trial date set in the Southern District of New York. The narrow gap between 60+ years (38.5%) and no prison time (35.5%) stems from uncertainty over conviction likelihood, sentencing severity under the statutes, potential plea negotiations, and possible diplomatic or political resolutions amid Venezuela’s interim leadership transition. Precedent from cases like Manuel Noriega informs trader assessments of head-of-state immunity claims and extradition dynamics, while upcoming court proceedings and any administration signals on enforcement could shift the balance before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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