The open MN-02 seat, vacated after incumbent Angie Craig launched a U.S. Senate bid in 2025, remains a Democratic-leaning district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near D+3 and a consistent suburban-rural mix favoring the party in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 2026 general election Likely Democratic, aligning with the market's 91.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Primary voters on August 11 will select from several contenders, including state legislators and local officials, but the eventual winner benefits from the district's baseline partisan tilt and fundraising edge typical in such contests. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national environment, unusually high turnout among GOP-leaning rural voters, or a significant scandal affecting the Democratic standard-bearer to overcome these structural factors.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMN-02 House Election Winner
MN-02 House Election Winner
$18,717 Vol.
$18,717 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
$18,717 Vol.
$18,717 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,405 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$10,312 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open MN-02 seat, vacated after incumbent Angie Craig launched a U.S. Senate bid in 2025, remains a Democratic-leaning district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near D+3 and a consistent suburban-rural mix favoring the party in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 2026 general election Likely Democratic, aligning with the market's 91.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Primary voters on August 11 will select from several contenders, including state legislators and local officials, but the eventual winner benefits from the district's baseline partisan tilt and fundraising edge typical in such contests. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national environment, unusually high turnout among GOP-leaning rural voters, or a significant scandal affecting the Democratic standard-bearer to overcome these structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$18,717Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open MN-02 seat, vacated after incumbent Angie Craig launched a U.S. Senate bid in 2025, remains a Democratic-leaning district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near D+3 and a consistent suburban-rural mix favoring the party in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 2026 general election Likely Democratic, aligning with the market's 91.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Primary voters on August 11 will select from several contenders, including state legislators and local officials, but the eventual winner benefits from the district's baseline partisan tilt and fundraising edge typical in such contests. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national environment, unusually high turnout among GOP-leaning rural voters, or a significant scandal affecting the Democratic standard-bearer to overcome these structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,717Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open MN-02 seat, vacated after incumbent Angie Craig launched a U.S. Senate bid in 2025, remains a Democratic-leaning district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near D+3 and a consistent suburban-rural mix favoring the party in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 2026 general election Likely Democratic, aligning with the market's 91.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Primary voters on August 11 will select from several contenders, including state legislators and local officials, but the eventual winner benefits from the district's baseline partisan tilt and fundraising edge typical in such contests. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national environment, unusually high turnout among GOP-leaning rural voters, or a significant scandal affecting the Democratic standard-bearer to overcome these structural factors.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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