Texas’s 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+25 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent presidential and Senate races. The seat became open after incumbent Jasmine Crockett pursued a Senate bid, leading to Democratic primary victory for Frederick Haynes and Republican nomination of Everett Jackson following a May 2026 runoff. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s urban Dallas County base and past results exceeding 70 percent for the party. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the absence of competitive polling or late developments capable of narrowing the gap substantially, though a major scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could still alter dynamics before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTX-30 House Election Winner
TX-30 House Election Winner
$42,644 Vol.
$42,644 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$42,644 Vol.
$42,644 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,578 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$37,067 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+25 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent presidential and Senate races. The seat became open after incumbent Jasmine Crockett pursued a Senate bid, leading to Democratic primary victory for Frederick Haynes and Republican nomination of Everett Jackson following a May 2026 runoff. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s urban Dallas County base and past results exceeding 70 percent for the party. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the absence of competitive polling or late developments capable of narrowing the gap substantially, though a major scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could still alter dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$42,644Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+25 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent presidential and Senate races. The seat became open after incumbent Jasmine Crockett pursued a Senate bid, leading to Democratic primary victory for Frederick Haynes and Republican nomination of Everett Jackson following a May 2026 runoff. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s urban Dallas County base and past results exceeding 70 percent for the party. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the absence of competitive polling or late developments capable of narrowing the gap substantially, though a major scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could still alter dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,644Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas’s 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+25 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent presidential and Senate races. The seat became open after incumbent Jasmine Crockett pursued a Senate bid, leading to Democratic primary victory for Frederick Haynes and Republican nomination of Everett Jackson following a May 2026 runoff. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s urban Dallas County base and past results exceeding 70 percent for the party. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the absence of competitive polling or late developments capable of narrowing the gap substantially, though a major scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could still alter dynamics before Election Day.
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