Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured the nomination in the March 10, 2026, Mississippi 2nd District Democratic primary, defeating challengers including attorney Evan Turnage, while Republican Ron Eller won his party's primary, setting up the November 3 general election matchup. Trader consensus at 85% for Democrats reflects the district's solidly Democratic rating by the Cook Political Report, driven by its majority-Black electorate and Thompson's long history of double-digit victories, often exceeding 65% of the vote. Recent discussions around potential Republican-led redistricting efforts have prompted Thompson's vocal opposition, but no changes have materialized, sustaining the status quo favoring the incumbent in this safe seat.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMS-02 House Election Winner
MS-02 House Election Winner
$21,568 Vol.
$21,568 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
15%
$21,568 Vol.
$21,568 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,302 Vol.
86%
Republican Party
$10,266 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured the nomination in the March 10, 2026, Mississippi 2nd District Democratic primary, defeating challengers including attorney Evan Turnage, while Republican Ron Eller won his party's primary, setting up the November 3 general election matchup. Trader consensus at 85% for Democrats reflects the district's solidly Democratic rating by the Cook Political Report, driven by its majority-Black electorate and Thompson's long history of double-digit victories, often exceeding 65% of the vote. Recent discussions around potential Republican-led redistricting efforts have prompted Thompson's vocal opposition, but no changes have materialized, sustaining the status quo favoring the incumbent in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$21,568Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured the nomination in the March 10, 2026, Mississippi 2nd District Democratic primary, defeating challengers including attorney Evan Turnage, while Republican Ron Eller won his party's primary, setting up the November 3 general election matchup. Trader consensus at 85% for Democrats reflects the district's solidly Democratic rating by the Cook Political Report, driven by its majority-Black electorate and Thompson's long history of double-digit victories, often exceeding 65% of the vote. Recent discussions around potential Republican-led redistricting efforts have prompted Thompson's vocal opposition, but no changes have materialized, sustaining the status quo favoring the incumbent in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,568Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured the nomination in the March 10, 2026, Mississippi 2nd District Democratic primary, defeating challengers including attorney Evan Turnage, while Republican Ron Eller won his party's primary, setting up the November 3 general election matchup. Trader consensus at 85% for Democrats reflects the district's solidly Democratic rating by the Cook Political Report, driven by its majority-Black electorate and Thompson's long history of double-digit victories, often exceeding 65% of the vote. Recent discussions around potential Republican-led redistricting efforts have prompted Thompson's vocal opposition, but no changes have materialized, sustaining the status quo favoring the incumbent in this safe seat.
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