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Politik·Rumania

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Politik·Rumania

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Delia Velculescu 19.1%

Șerban Matei 17.5%

Sorin Grindeanu 10%

Radu Burnete 9%

Polymarket

$573,172 Vol.

Delia Velculescu 19.1%

Șerban Matei 17.5%

Sorin Grindeanu 10%

Radu Burnete 9%

Polymarket

$573,172 Vol.

icon for Delia Velculescu

Delia Velculescu

$14,892 Vol.

19%

icon for Șerban Matei

Șerban Matei

$16,359 Vol.

18%

icon for Sorin Grindeanu

Sorin Grindeanu

$69,371 Vol.

10%

icon for Radu Burnete

Radu Burnete

$19,121 Vol.

9%

icon for Cătălin Predoiu

Cătălin Predoiu

$65,535 Vol.

7%

icon for Anca Dragu

Anca Dragu

$19,506 Vol.

3%

icon for Dragoș Pîslaru

Dragoș Pîslaru

$12,914 Vol.

2%

icon for Alexandru Nazare

Alexandru Nazare

$5,054 Vol.

2%

icon for Alexandru Rogobete

Alexandru Rogobete

$10,751 Vol.

1%

icon for George Simion

George Simion

$12,120 Vol.

1%

icon for Ilie Bolojan

Ilie Bolojan

$60,599 Vol.

1%

icon for Ionuț Dumitru

Ionuț Dumitru

$19,658 Vol.

1%

icon for Dan Motreanu

Dan Motreanu

$11,592 Vol.

1%

icon for Ciprian Ciucu

Ciprian Ciucu

$919 Vol.

1%

icon for Calin Georgescu

Calin Georgescu

$9,570 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mugur Isărescu

Mugur Isărescu

$11,081 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mircea Geoană

Mircea Geoană

$16,895 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucian Isar

Lucian Isar

$12,256 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcel Ciolacu

Marcel Ciolacu

$11,829 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alexandru Rafila

Alexandru Rafila

$12,536 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sebastian Burduja

Sebastian Burduja

$12,629 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elena Lasconi

Elena Lasconi

$34,231 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cătălin Drulă

Cătălin Drulă

$13,867 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vasile Dîncu

Vasile Dîncu

$12,742 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dacian Cioloș

Dacian Cioloș

$16,996 Vol.

<1%

icon for Emil Boc

Emil Boc

$13,158 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dominic Fritz

Dominic Fritz

$12,397 Vol.

<1%

icon for Raluca Turcan

Raluca Turcan

$9,511 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucian Croitoru

Lucian Croitoru

$11,355 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicolae Ciucă

Nicolae Ciucă

$14,083 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hunor Kelemen

Hunor Kelemen

$8,829 Vol.

<1%

icon for Traian Basescu

Traian Basescu

$814 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's recent political crisis, marked by the May 5 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan and fractured the centrist coalition, has left President Nicușor Dan conducting party consultations to identify a successor capable of securing parliamentary investiture. With no single bloc holding a clear majority, the fragmented legislature favors candidates who can navigate cross-party deals or a technocratic mandate, sustaining tight trader pricing between leading figures amid ongoing negotiations. This dynamic, driven by recent PSD-AUR alignment against austerity and the president's emphasis on a stable pro-EU government, explains the balanced probabilities and highlights how upcoming coalition talks or a technocrat appointment could quickly shift sentiment before any resolution.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$573,172
Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's recent political crisis, marked by the May 5 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan and fractured the centrist coalition, has left President Nicușor Dan conducting party consultations to identify a successor capable of securing parliamentary investiture. With no single bloc holding a clear majority, the fragmented legislature favors candidates who can navigate cross-party deals or a technocratic mandate, sustaining tight trader pricing between leading figures amid ongoing negotiations. This dynamic, driven by recent PSD-AUR alignment against austerity and the president's emphasis on a stable pro-EU government, explains the balanced probabilities and highlights how upcoming coalition talks or a technocrat appointment could quickly shift sentiment before any resolution.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$573,172
Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Prime Minister of Romania?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 32 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Delia Velculescu" di 19%, diikuti oleh "Șerban Matei" di 18%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 19¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 19% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" telah menghasilkan $573.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 5, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next Prime Minister of Romania?," jelajahi 32 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" adalah "Delia Velculescu" di 19%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 19% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Șerban Matei" di 18%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.