OpenAI's continued access to massive private capital and surging revenue have kept any near-term bankruptcy scenario at negligible implied probability in trader consensus. The company closed a $122 billion round at an $852 billion valuation in March and is exploring another at $1.2 trillion, while annualized revenue recently topped $40 billion after GPT-5.6 and Astra releases. Losses remain steep—$39 billion in 2025 and $3.7 billion cash burn in Q1 2026—driven by compute commitments exceeding $665 billion, yet ample reserves and Microsoft ties provide runway. CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety and alignment priorities as reasons to delay an IPO until 2027, underscoring strategic focus over distress. Upcoming catalysts include further model launches and potential regulatory developments around capability testing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBARU
$20,000 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
December 31, 2027
8%
December 31, 2028
16%
December 31, 2029
19%
$20,000 Vol.
December 31, 2027
$7,635 Vol.
8%
December 31, 2028
$6,658 Vol.
16%
December 31, 2029
$5,707 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's continued access to massive private capital and surging revenue have kept any near-term bankruptcy scenario at negligible implied probability in trader consensus. The company closed a $122 billion round at an $852 billion valuation in March and is exploring another at $1.2 trillion, while annualized revenue recently topped $40 billion after GPT-5.6 and Astra releases. Losses remain steep—$39 billion in 2025 and $3.7 billion cash burn in Q1 2026—driven by compute commitments exceeding $665 billion, yet ample reserves and Microsoft ties provide runway. CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety and alignment priorities as reasons to delay an IPO until 2027, underscoring strategic focus over distress. Upcoming catalysts include further model launches and potential regulatory developments around capability testing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Volume
$20,000Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2030Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's continued access to massive private capital and surging revenue have kept any near-term bankruptcy scenario at negligible implied probability in trader consensus. The company closed a $122 billion round at an $852 billion valuation in March and is exploring another at $1.2 trillion, while annualized revenue recently topped $40 billion after GPT-5.6 and Astra releases. Losses remain steep—$39 billion in 2025 and $3.7 billion cash burn in Q1 2026—driven by compute commitments exceeding $665 billion, yet ample reserves and Microsoft ties provide runway. CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety and alignment priorities as reasons to delay an IPO until 2027, underscoring strategic focus over distress. Upcoming catalysts include further model launches and potential regulatory developments around capability testing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,000Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2030Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's continued access to massive private capital and surging revenue have kept any near-term bankruptcy scenario at negligible implied probability in trader consensus. The company closed a $122 billion round at an $852 billion valuation in March and is exploring another at $1.2 trillion, while annualized revenue recently topped $40 billion after GPT-5.6 and Astra releases. Losses remain steep—$39 billion in 2025 and $3.7 billion cash burn in Q1 2026—driven by compute commitments exceeding $665 billion, yet ample reserves and Microsoft ties provide runway. CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety and alignment priorities as reasons to delay an IPO until 2027, underscoring strategic focus over distress. Upcoming catalysts include further model launches and potential regulatory developments around capability testing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan