Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, including Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards with scores between 53% and 65% as of mid-2026, driven by advances in adaptive reasoning, tool integration, and large language model scaling. This reflects the benchmark’s expert-level questions spanning science, math, and humanities, where early 2025 frontier models scored below 10% before rapid gains pushed several labs past the 50% threshold in 2026. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series, Google DeepMind’s Gemini previews, and Meta’s Muse models trail closely, highlighting intense competition in artificial intelligence capabilities and benchmark optimization. Key upcoming catalysts include new model releases, HLE-Rolling updates addressing data quality, and continued emphasis on verifiable performance metrics through year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBARU
Dec 31, 2026
60%+
46%
65%+
34%
70%+
16%
75%+
12%
80%+
11%
90%+
5%
$483 Vol.
60%+
$121 Vol.
46%
65%+
$224 Vol.
34%
70%+
$61 Vol.
16%
75%+
$47 Vol.
12%
80%+
$0 Vol.
11%
90%+
$30 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, including Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards with scores between 53% and 65% as of mid-2026, driven by advances in adaptive reasoning, tool integration, and large language model scaling. This reflects the benchmark’s expert-level questions spanning science, math, and humanities, where early 2025 frontier models scored below 10% before rapid gains pushed several labs past the 50% threshold in 2026. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series, Google DeepMind’s Gemini previews, and Meta’s Muse models trail closely, highlighting intense competition in artificial intelligence capabilities and benchmark optimization. Key upcoming catalysts include new model releases, HLE-Rolling updates addressing data quality, and continued emphasis on verifiable performance metrics through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Volume
$483Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, including Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards with scores between 53% and 65% as of mid-2026, driven by advances in adaptive reasoning, tool integration, and large language model scaling. This reflects the benchmark’s expert-level questions spanning science, math, and humanities, where early 2025 frontier models scored below 10% before rapid gains pushed several labs past the 50% threshold in 2026. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series, Google DeepMind’s Gemini previews, and Meta’s Muse models trail closely, highlighting intense competition in artificial intelligence capabilities and benchmark optimization. Key upcoming catalysts include new model releases, HLE-Rolling updates addressing data quality, and continued emphasis on verifiable performance metrics through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$483Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, including Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards with scores between 53% and 65% as of mid-2026, driven by advances in adaptive reasoning, tool integration, and large language model scaling. This reflects the benchmark’s expert-level questions spanning science, math, and humanities, where early 2025 frontier models scored below 10% before rapid gains pushed several labs past the 50% threshold in 2026. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series, Google DeepMind’s Gemini previews, and Meta’s Muse models trail closely, highlighting intense competition in artificial intelligence capabilities and benchmark optimization. Key upcoming catalysts include new model releases, HLE-Rolling updates addressing data quality, and continued emphasis on verifiable performance metrics through year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
50%
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
47%
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
69%
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