Recent supply recovery in the U.S. egg market, following the 2025 avian influenza culls that reduced layer flocks by tens of millions of hens, has driven retail prices lower through early 2026. Bureau of Labor Statistics data show the U.S. city average for a dozen Grade A large eggs at $2.250 in April, down from $2.348 in March and $2.500 in February, reflecting expanded production capacity now exceeding 308 million hens and a resulting oversupply. This trajectory has positioned the $2.00–$2.25 range as the dominant trader consensus at 63.5% implied probability, with secondary support in the $2.25–$2.50 bucket. Market-implied odds continue to price in further moderation amid softer post-holiday demand and stable wholesale benchmarks near $0.20 per dozen, while any renewed disease pressure remains a low-probability swing factor ahead of May resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$2.00–$2.25 64%
$2.25–$2.50 28%
$1.75–$2.00 8%
$3.25–$3.50 2.2%
BARU
BARU
Jun 10, 2026
<$1.50
1%
$1.50–$1.75
1%
$1.75–$2.00
8%
$2.00–$2.25
64%
$2.25–$2.50
28%
$2.50–$2.75
2%
$2.75–$3.00
1%
$3.00–$3.25
1%
$3.25–$3.50
2%
≥$3.50
1%
$2.00–$2.25 64%
$2.25–$2.50 28%
$1.75–$2.00 8%
$3.25–$3.50 2.2%
BARU
BARU
Jun 10, 2026
<$1.50
$80 Vol.
1%
$1.50–$1.75
$48 Vol.
1%
$1.75–$2.00
$57 Vol.
8%
$2.00–$2.25
$210 Vol.
64%
$2.25–$2.50
$167 Vol.
28%
$2.50–$2.75
$83 Vol.
2%
$2.75–$3.00
$103 Vol.
1%
$3.00–$3.25
$246 Vol.
1%
$3.25–$3.50
$171 Vol.
2%
≥$3.50
$81 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Recent supply recovery in the U.S. egg market, following the 2025 avian influenza culls that reduced layer flocks by tens of millions of hens, has driven retail prices lower through early 2026. Bureau of Labor Statistics data show the U.S. city average for a dozen Grade A large eggs at $2.250 in April, down from $2.348 in March and $2.500 in February, reflecting expanded production capacity now exceeding 308 million hens and a resulting oversupply. This trajectory has positioned the $2.00–$2.25 range as the dominant trader consensus at 63.5% implied probability, with secondary support in the $2.25–$2.50 bucket. Market-implied odds continue to price in further moderation amid softer post-holiday demand and stable wholesale benchmarks near $0.20 per dozen, while any renewed disease pressure remains a low-probability swing factor ahead of May resolution.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Pasar Dibuka: May 12, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
Volume
$1,245Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Recent supply recovery in the U.S. egg market, following the 2025 avian influenza culls that reduced layer flocks by tens of millions of hens, has driven retail prices lower through early 2026. Bureau of Labor Statistics data show the U.S. city average for a dozen Grade A large eggs at $2.250 in April, down from $2.348 in March and $2.500 in February, reflecting expanded production capacity now exceeding 308 million hens and a resulting oversupply. This trajectory has positioned the $2.00–$2.25 range as the dominant trader consensus at 63.5% implied probability, with secondary support in the $2.25–$2.50 bucket. Market-implied odds continue to price in further moderation amid softer post-holiday demand and stable wholesale benchmarks near $0.20 per dozen, while any renewed disease pressure remains a low-probability swing factor ahead of May resolution.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Volume
$1,245Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent supply recovery in the U.S. egg market, following the 2025 avian influenza culls that reduced layer flocks by tens of millions of hens, has driven retail prices lower through early 2026. Bureau of Labor Statistics data show the U.S. city average for a dozen Grade A large eggs at $2.250 in April, down from $2.348 in March and $2.500 in February, reflecting expanded production capacity now exceeding 308 million hens and a resulting oversupply. This trajectory has positioned the $2.00–$2.25 range as the dominant trader consensus at 63.5% implied probability, with secondary support in the $2.25–$2.50 bucket. Market-implied odds continue to price in further moderation amid softer post-holiday demand and stable wholesale benchmarks near $0.20 per dozen, while any renewed disease pressure remains a low-probability swing factor ahead of May resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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