Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month extension for parliamentary and local council terms on April 28, 2026, following a National Electoral Commission recommendation for a shorter delay due to security, logistical, and drought-related constraints. This decision, taken under constitutional provisions granting the upper house authority over such extensions, has shifted trader consensus toward the 81% probability assigned to no parliamentary election before 2027. The leading parties—Waddani, which secured the presidency in 2024, along with UCID and Kulmiye—face sharply reduced near-term odds as a result. Historical patterns of repeated postponements in Somaliland’s electoral cycle further reinforce expectations that the new timeline will hold absent unforeseen political or institutional shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiSomaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027 88%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 2.2%
Kulmiye 1.1%
Waddani 0
$18,392 Vol.
$18,392 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
No election before 2027
82%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
2%
Kulmiye
1%
Waddani
26%
No election before 2027 88%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 2.2%
Kulmiye 1.1%
Waddani 0
$18,392 Vol.
$18,392 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
No election before 2027
$10,033 Vol.
82%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
$3,877 Vol.
2%
Kulmiye
$2,458 Vol.
1%
Waddani
$2,023 Vol.
26%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month extension for parliamentary and local council terms on April 28, 2026, following a National Electoral Commission recommendation for a shorter delay due to security, logistical, and drought-related constraints. This decision, taken under constitutional provisions granting the upper house authority over such extensions, has shifted trader consensus toward the 81% probability assigned to no parliamentary election before 2027. The leading parties—Waddani, which secured the presidency in 2024, along with UCID and Kulmiye—face sharply reduced near-term odds as a result. Historical patterns of repeated postponements in Somaliland’s electoral cycle further reinforce expectations that the new timeline will hold absent unforeseen political or institutional shifts.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Volume
$18,392Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month extension for parliamentary and local council terms on April 28, 2026, following a National Electoral Commission recommendation for a shorter delay due to security, logistical, and drought-related constraints. This decision, taken under constitutional provisions granting the upper house authority over such extensions, has shifted trader consensus toward the 81% probability assigned to no parliamentary election before 2027. The leading parties—Waddani, which secured the presidency in 2024, along with UCID and Kulmiye—face sharply reduced near-term odds as a result. Historical patterns of repeated postponements in Somaliland’s electoral cycle further reinforce expectations that the new timeline will hold absent unforeseen political or institutional shifts.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Volume
$18,392Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month extension for parliamentary and local council terms on April 28, 2026, following a National Electoral Commission recommendation for a shorter delay due to security, logistical, and drought-related constraints. This decision, taken under constitutional provisions granting the upper house authority over such extensions, has shifted trader consensus toward the 81% probability assigned to no parliamentary election before 2027. The leading parties—Waddani, which secured the presidency in 2024, along with UCID and Kulmiye—face sharply reduced near-term odds as a result. Historical patterns of repeated postponements in Somaliland’s electoral cycle further reinforce expectations that the new timeline will hold absent unforeseen political or institutional shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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