SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline has anchored trader consensus around a 2.0T+ closing market cap at 70% implied probability. Recent Reuters reporting confirms the company plans to file its prospectus as early as next week, launch a roadshow on June 4, and price shares around June 11 for a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, targeting a $1.75T valuation and $75 billion raise. This builds on private-market tenders that lifted valuations from $800 billion in late 2025 to $1.75 trillion following the February xAI merger, with Starlink's expanding cash flows and Starship development milestones reinforcing premium multiples ahead of the listing. Upcoming catalysts include the final SEC review and institutional demand during the roadshow, which could sustain the strong opening sentiment already priced into prediction markets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui2,0T+ 71%
1,8T–2,0T 13%
1,6T–1,8T 6.8%
1,4T–1,6T 4.2%
$969,846 Vol.
$969,846 Vol.
Tidak IPO sebelum 2028
1%
<1,0T
3%
1,0T–1,2T
2%
1,2T–1,4T
3%
1,4T–1,6T
4%
1,6T–1,8T
7%
1,8T–2,0T
13%
2,0T+
71%
2,0T+ 71%
1,8T–2,0T 13%
1,6T–1,8T 6.8%
1,4T–1,6T 4.2%
$969,846 Vol.
$969,846 Vol.
Tidak IPO sebelum 2028
1%
<1,0T
3%
1,0T–1,2T
2%
1,2T–1,4T
3%
1,4T–1,6T
4%
1,6T–1,8T
7%
1,8T–2,0T
13%
2,0T+
71%
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline has anchored trader consensus around a 2.0T+ closing market cap at 70% implied probability. Recent Reuters reporting confirms the company plans to file its prospectus as early as next week, launch a roadshow on June 4, and price shares around June 11 for a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, targeting a $1.75T valuation and $75 billion raise. This builds on private-market tenders that lifted valuations from $800 billion in late 2025 to $1.75 trillion following the February xAI merger, with Starlink's expanding cash flows and Starship development milestones reinforcing premium multiples ahead of the listing. Upcoming catalysts include the final SEC review and institutional demand during the roadshow, which could sustain the strong opening sentiment already priced into prediction markets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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