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icon for Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

icon for Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

4% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
4% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
On May 18, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced the creation of “The Anti-Weaponization Fund,” a program intended to compensate individuals or entities that were harmed by “weaponization of the criminal justice system” (see: https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-announces-anti-weaponization-fund). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Department of Justice officially announces an Anti-Weaponization Fund payment to any individual in connection with damages, prosecution, detention, criminal charges or other legal proceedings related to the January 6, 2021 Capitol riot by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A consensus of credible reporting that such a payment has been made will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Issued apologies or other actions which do not include monetary payment will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Department of Justice and a consensus of credible reporting.**Trump's Justice Department established a roughly $1.8 billion "anti-weaponization" settlement fund in May 2026 tied to resolving an IRS lawsuit, prompting pardoned January 6 defendants to file or prepare claims for compensation.** Immediate lawsuits from Capitol Police officers, bipartisan congressional efforts to bar such payouts, and court halts on implementation created major procedural barriers. The fund faced swift bipartisan opposition and was paused amid legal challenges, with the DOJ retaining broad discretion but subject to transparency rules and pending restrictions. No payments to January 6 participants have been announced, and resolution requires an official DOJ disbursement announcement by the July 31, 2026 deadline. Traders view these institutional and litigation hurdles as making near-term approval improbable, sustaining strong consensus against a payout.

On May 18, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced the creation of “The Anti-Weaponization Fund,” a program intended to compensate individuals or entities that were harmed by “weaponization of the criminal justice system” (see: https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-announces-anti-weaponization-fund).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Department of Justice officially announces an Anti-Weaponization Fund payment to any individual in connection with damages, prosecution, detention, criminal charges or other legal proceedings related to the January 6, 2021 Capitol riot by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A consensus of credible reporting that such a payment has been made will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.

Issued apologies or other actions which do not include monetary payment will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Department of Justice and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,004
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 21, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
On May 18, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced the creation of “The Anti-Weaponization Fund,” a program intended to compensate individuals or entities that were harmed by “weaponization of the criminal justice system” (see: https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-announces-anti-weaponization-fund). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Department of Justice officially announces an Anti-Weaponization Fund payment to any individual in connection with damages, prosecution, detention, criminal charges or other legal proceedings related to the January 6, 2021 Capitol riot by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A consensus of credible reporting that such a payment has been made will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Issued apologies or other actions which do not include monetary payment will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Department of Justice and a consensus of credible reporting.
On May 18, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced the creation of “The Anti-Weaponization Fund,” a program intended to compensate individuals or entities that were harmed by “weaponization of the criminal justice system” (see: https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-announces-anti-weaponization-fund). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Department of Justice officially announces an Anti-Weaponization Fund payment to any individual in connection with damages, prosecution, detention, criminal charges or other legal proceedings related to the January 6, 2021 Capitol riot by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A consensus of credible reporting that such a payment has been made will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Issued apologies or other actions which do not include monetary payment will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Department of Justice and a consensus of credible reporting.**Trump's Justice Department established a roughly $1.8 billion "anti-weaponization" settlement fund in May 2026 tied to resolving an IRS lawsuit, prompting pardoned January 6 defendants to file or prepare claims for compensation.** Immediate lawsuits from Capitol Police officers, bipartisan congressional efforts to bar such payouts, and court halts on implementation created major procedural barriers. The fund faced swift bipartisan opposition and was paused amid legal challenges, with the DOJ retaining broad discretion but subject to transparency rules and pending restrictions. No payments to January 6 participants have been announced, and resolution requires an official DOJ disbursement announcement by the July 31, 2026 deadline. Traders view these institutional and litigation hurdles as making near-term approval improbable, sustaining strong consensus against a payout.

On May 18, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced the creation of “The Anti-Weaponization Fund,” a program intended to compensate individuals or entities that were harmed by “weaponization of the criminal justice system” (see: https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-announces-anti-weaponization-fund).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Department of Justice officially announces an Anti-Weaponization Fund payment to any individual in connection with damages, prosecution, detention, criminal charges or other legal proceedings related to the January 6, 2021 Capitol riot by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A consensus of credible reporting that such a payment has been made will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.

Issued apologies or other actions which do not include monetary payment will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Department of Justice and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,004
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 21, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
On May 18, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced the creation of “The Anti-Weaponization Fund,” a program intended to compensate individuals or entities that were harmed by “weaponization of the criminal justice system” (see: https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-announces-anti-weaponization-fund). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Department of Justice officially announces an Anti-Weaponization Fund payment to any individual in connection with damages, prosecution, detention, criminal charges or other legal proceedings related to the January 6, 2021 Capitol riot by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A consensus of credible reporting that such a payment has been made will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Issued apologies or other actions which do not include monetary payment will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Department of Justice and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 4% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 4¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 4% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada May 21, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?" adalah 4% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 4% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.