US military operations against Venezuelan drug networks and regime targets reached a peak with the January 3, 2026, raid that captured Nicolás Maduro in Caracas, though the action involved only a brief incursion by special forces before withdrawal, leaving no sustained ground presence. Subsequent developments center on interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez, continued US naval deployments in the Caribbean for interdiction missions, and statements from President Trump weighing expanded economic control or even statehood options for Venezuela. Traders assess re-entry risks against congressional resistance to new authorizations, ongoing counter-narcotics strikes without boots on the ground, and the absence of fresh escalatory triggers in recent months. Scheduled diplomatic and military reviews through mid-2026 could influence whether pressure tactics shift toward deeper involvement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$1,298,270 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
30 Juni
6%
$1,298,270 Vol.
30 Juni
$213,507 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military operations against Venezuelan drug networks and regime targets reached a peak with the January 3, 2026, raid that captured Nicolás Maduro in Caracas, though the action involved only a brief incursion by special forces before withdrawal, leaving no sustained ground presence. Subsequent developments center on interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez, continued US naval deployments in the Caribbean for interdiction missions, and statements from President Trump weighing expanded economic control or even statehood options for Venezuela. Traders assess re-entry risks against congressional resistance to new authorizations, ongoing counter-narcotics strikes without boots on the ground, and the absence of fresh escalatory triggers in recent months. Scheduled diplomatic and military reviews through mid-2026 could influence whether pressure tactics shift toward deeper involvement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,298,270Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military operations against Venezuelan drug networks and regime targets reached a peak with the January 3, 2026, raid that captured Nicolás Maduro in Caracas, though the action involved only a brief incursion by special forces before withdrawal, leaving no sustained ground presence. Subsequent developments center on interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez, continued US naval deployments in the Caribbean for interdiction missions, and statements from President Trump weighing expanded economic control or even statehood options for Venezuela. Traders assess re-entry risks against congressional resistance to new authorizations, ongoing counter-narcotics strikes without boots on the ground, and the absence of fresh escalatory triggers in recent months. Scheduled diplomatic and military reviews through mid-2026 could influence whether pressure tactics shift toward deeper involvement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,298,270Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military operations against Venezuelan drug networks and regime targets reached a peak with the January 3, 2026, raid that captured Nicolás Maduro in Caracas, though the action involved only a brief incursion by special forces before withdrawal, leaving no sustained ground presence. Subsequent developments center on interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez, continued US naval deployments in the Caribbean for interdiction missions, and statements from President Trump weighing expanded economic control or even statehood options for Venezuela. Traders assess re-entry risks against congressional resistance to new authorizations, ongoing counter-narcotics strikes without boots on the ground, and the absence of fresh escalatory triggers in recent months. Scheduled diplomatic and military reviews through mid-2026 could influence whether pressure tactics shift toward deeper involvement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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