Recent Q2 2026 GDP growth slowed to a 1.5% annualized rate from 2.1% in Q1, with the advance estimate highlighting gains in consumer spending and business investment offset by weaker government outlays. Trader sentiment for Q3 remains split, with ≥3.0% growth at 32.5% implied probability leading narrowly over the 2.0–2.5% band at 26%, as markets weigh a potential rebound from AI-driven capital expenditures against softening household affordability and mixed labor market signals. Full-year 2026 consensus forecasts cluster near 2.0–2.2%, underscoring uncertainty around whether investment momentum can offset any further consumption moderation before the September 30 quarter-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui≥3.0% 32%
2.0–2.5% 26%
2.5–3.0% 21%
1.0–1.5% 8.8%
$18,694 Vol.
$18,694 Vol.
Oct 29, 2026
<0.5%
4%
0.5–1.0%
4%
1.0–1.5%
9%
1.5–2.0%
7%
2.0–2.5%
26%
2.5–3.0%
21%
≥3.0%
32%
≥3.0% 32%
2.0–2.5% 26%
2.5–3.0% 21%
1.0–1.5% 8.8%
$18,694 Vol.
$18,694 Vol.
Oct 29, 2026
<0.5%
$760 Vol.
4%
0.5–1.0%
$470 Vol.
4%
1.0–1.5%
$546 Vol.
9%
1.5–2.0%
$599 Vol.
7%
2.0–2.5%
$1,743 Vol.
26%
2.5–3.0%
$3,182 Vol.
21%
≥3.0%
$11,393 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Q2 2026 GDP growth slowed to a 1.5% annualized rate from 2.1% in Q1, with the advance estimate highlighting gains in consumer spending and business investment offset by weaker government outlays. Trader sentiment for Q3 remains split, with ≥3.0% growth at 32.5% implied probability leading narrowly over the 2.0–2.5% band at 26%, as markets weigh a potential rebound from AI-driven capital expenditures against softening household affordability and mixed labor market signals. Full-year 2026 consensus forecasts cluster near 2.0–2.2%, underscoring uncertainty around whether investment momentum can offset any further consumption moderation before the September 30 quarter-end.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
Volume
$18,694Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Q2 2026 GDP growth slowed to a 1.5% annualized rate from 2.1% in Q1, with the advance estimate highlighting gains in consumer spending and business investment offset by weaker government outlays. Trader sentiment for Q3 remains split, with ≥3.0% growth at 32.5% implied probability leading narrowly over the 2.0–2.5% band at 26%, as markets weigh a potential rebound from AI-driven capital expenditures against softening household affordability and mixed labor market signals. Full-year 2026 consensus forecasts cluster near 2.0–2.2%, underscoring uncertainty around whether investment momentum can offset any further consumption moderation before the September 30 quarter-end.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
Volume
$18,694Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Q2 2026 GDP growth slowed to a 1.5% annualized rate from 2.1% in Q1, with the advance estimate highlighting gains in consumer spending and business investment offset by weaker government outlays. Trader sentiment for Q3 remains split, with ≥3.0% growth at 32.5% implied probability leading narrowly over the 2.0–2.5% band at 26%, as markets weigh a potential rebound from AI-driven capital expenditures against softening household affordability and mixed labor market signals. Full-year 2026 consensus forecasts cluster near 2.0–2.2%, underscoring uncertainty around whether investment momentum can offset any further consumption moderation before the September 30 quarter-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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