Recent U.S. tariff measures implemented since early 2025, including broad reciprocal trade agreements and higher duties on imports from major partners, have narrowed the goods and services deficit by curbing import growth while supporting modest export gains in energy and agriculture. In 2026, monthly shortfalls have stabilized near $60 billion amid recovering import volumes for autos, capital goods, and consumer products, offset by stronger services exports and gradual dollar depreciation. The Congressional Budget Office projects continued moderation through year-end as supply-chain adjustments slow and domestic demand strengthens under prior fiscal measures, yet uncertainty over additional bilateral deals and global growth keeps the annual outcome closely contested between the 800–900 billion and 900 billion–1 trillion brackets. Traders weigh these policy effects against potential late-year shifts from new trade negotiations or economic rebound.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$20,985 Vol.
$20,985 Vol.
Feb 28, 2027
<500B
7%
500–600B
6%
600–700B
5%
700–800B
8%
800–900B
39%
900B–1T
35%
1T–1.1T
9%
1.1T+
5%
$20,985 Vol.
$20,985 Vol.
Feb 28, 2027
<500B
$16,637 Vol.
7%
500–600B
$413 Vol.
6%
600–700B
$435 Vol.
5%
700–800B
$456 Vol.
8%
800–900B
$1,008 Vol.
39%
900B–1T
$971 Vol.
35%
1T–1.1T
$441 Vol.
9%
1.1T+
$624 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent U.S. tariff measures implemented since early 2025, including broad reciprocal trade agreements and higher duties on imports from major partners, have narrowed the goods and services deficit by curbing import growth while supporting modest export gains in energy and agriculture. In 2026, monthly shortfalls have stabilized near $60 billion amid recovering import volumes for autos, capital goods, and consumer products, offset by stronger services exports and gradual dollar depreciation. The Congressional Budget Office projects continued moderation through year-end as supply-chain adjustments slow and domestic demand strengthens under prior fiscal measures, yet uncertainty over additional bilateral deals and global growth keeps the annual outcome closely contested between the 800–900 billion and 900 billion–1 trillion brackets. Traders weigh these policy effects against potential late-year shifts from new trade negotiations or economic rebound.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$20,985Tanggal Berakhir
Feb 28, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent U.S. tariff measures implemented since early 2025, including broad reciprocal trade agreements and higher duties on imports from major partners, have narrowed the goods and services deficit by curbing import growth while supporting modest export gains in energy and agriculture. In 2026, monthly shortfalls have stabilized near $60 billion amid recovering import volumes for autos, capital goods, and consumer products, offset by stronger services exports and gradual dollar depreciation. The Congressional Budget Office projects continued moderation through year-end as supply-chain adjustments slow and domestic demand strengthens under prior fiscal measures, yet uncertainty over additional bilateral deals and global growth keeps the annual outcome closely contested between the 800–900 billion and 900 billion–1 trillion brackets. Traders weigh these policy effects against potential late-year shifts from new trade negotiations or economic rebound.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Volume
$20,985Tanggal Berakhir
Feb 28, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. tariff measures implemented since early 2025, including broad reciprocal trade agreements and higher duties on imports from major partners, have narrowed the goods and services deficit by curbing import growth while supporting modest export gains in energy and agriculture. In 2026, monthly shortfalls have stabilized near $60 billion amid recovering import volumes for autos, capital goods, and consumer products, offset by stronger services exports and gradual dollar depreciation. The Congressional Budget Office projects continued moderation through year-end as supply-chain adjustments slow and domestic demand strengthens under prior fiscal measures, yet uncertainty over additional bilateral deals and global growth keeps the annual outcome closely contested between the 800–900 billion and 900 billion–1 trillion brackets. Traders weigh these policy effects against potential late-year shifts from new trade negotiations or economic rebound.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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