Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress and expectations of a Strait of Hormuz reopening have driven the primary downward pressure on WTI prices, with July futures settling at $84.88 per barrel on June 12 after a 3.23% single-day drop from earlier June levels above $90. Persistent supply disruptions from the conflict have triggered sharp global inventory draws—averaging 6.3 million barrels per day in Q2 per the EIA—supporting near-term tightness, yet trader consensus now prices in supply restoration later in 2026 amid softer demand forecasts. Weakening global consumption projections, OPEC+ production signals, and weekly EIA inventory releases remain key near-term catalysts as the June contract approaches resolution, with the futures curve reflecting anticipated normalization from current backwardation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$4,042,808 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $175
<1%
↑ $150
1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
2%
↑ $120
3%
↑ $115
3%
↑ $110
7%
↑ $105
8%
↑ $100
13%
↑ $95
26%
↓ $80
82%
↓ $75
42%
↓ $70
19%
↓ $65
9%
↓ $60
3%
↓ $50
<1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $30
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
$4,042,808 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $175
<1%
↑ $150
1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
2%
↑ $120
3%
↑ $115
3%
↑ $110
7%
↑ $105
8%
↑ $100
13%
↑ $95
26%
↓ $80
82%
↓ $75
42%
↓ $70
19%
↓ $65
9%
↓ $60
3%
↓ $50
<1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $30
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe’s business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Pasar Dibuka: May 29, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe’s business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Sumber Resolusi
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress and expectations of a Strait of Hormuz reopening have driven the primary downward pressure on WTI prices, with July futures settling at $84.88 per barrel on June 12 after a 3.23% single-day drop from earlier June levels above $90. Persistent supply disruptions from the conflict have triggered sharp global inventory draws—averaging 6.3 million barrels per day in Q2 per the EIA—supporting near-term tightness, yet trader consensus now prices in supply restoration later in 2026 amid softer demand forecasts. Weakening global consumption projections, OPEC+ production signals, and weekly EIA inventory releases remain key near-term catalysts as the June contract approaches resolution, with the futures curve reflecting anticipated normalization from current backwardation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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