Traders assign a 75% probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the company’s January confidential SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan that has not yet advanced to a public S-1. This timeline compression, combined with Discord’s 200 million monthly active users and roughly $725 million in 2024 revenue, supports modest closing market-cap expectations, with sub-$15 billion outcomes priced at 5.3%. Recent market volatility and the absence of a disclosed pricing window have reinforced caution, as historical tech IPOs often require several months between confidential filing and debut. The current setup positions the next public filing or regulatory update as the key catalyst that could shift implied odds for the 15–30 billion valuation buckets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTidak IPO hingga 30 Juni 2026 74%
<15M 7.3%
25–30M 4.5%
15–20M 4.2%
$889,733 Vol.
$889,733 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<15M
7%
15–20M
4%
20–25M
<1%
25–30M
5%
30M+
1%
Tidak IPO hingga 30 Juni 2026
74%
Tidak IPO hingga 30 Juni 2026 74%
<15M 7.3%
25–30M 4.5%
15–20M 4.2%
$889,733 Vol.
$889,733 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<15M
$298,466 Vol.
7%
15–20M
$109,427 Vol.
4%
20–25M
$74,403 Vol.
<1%
25–30M
$113,019 Vol.
5%
30M+
$100,260 Vol.
1%
Tidak IPO hingga 30 Juni 2026
$194,157 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders assign a 75% probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the company’s January confidential SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan that has not yet advanced to a public S-1. This timeline compression, combined with Discord’s 200 million monthly active users and roughly $725 million in 2024 revenue, supports modest closing market-cap expectations, with sub-$15 billion outcomes priced at 5.3%. Recent market volatility and the absence of a disclosed pricing window have reinforced caution, as historical tech IPOs often require several months between confidential filing and debut. The current setup positions the next public filing or regulatory update as the key catalyst that could shift implied odds for the 15–30 billion valuation buckets.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$889,733Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders assign a 75% probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the company’s January confidential SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan that has not yet advanced to a public S-1. This timeline compression, combined with Discord’s 200 million monthly active users and roughly $725 million in 2024 revenue, supports modest closing market-cap expectations, with sub-$15 billion outcomes priced at 5.3%. Recent market volatility and the absence of a disclosed pricing window have reinforced caution, as historical tech IPOs often require several months between confidential filing and debut. The current setup positions the next public filing or regulatory update as the key catalyst that could shift implied odds for the 15–30 billion valuation buckets.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$889,733Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders assign a 75% probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the company’s January confidential SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan that has not yet advanced to a public S-1. This timeline compression, combined with Discord’s 200 million monthly active users and roughly $725 million in 2024 revenue, supports modest closing market-cap expectations, with sub-$15 billion outcomes priced at 5.3%. Recent market volatility and the absence of a disclosed pricing window have reinforced caution, as historical tech IPOs often require several months between confidential filing and debut. The current setup positions the next public filing or regulatory update as the key catalyst that could shift implied odds for the 15–30 billion valuation buckets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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