Iran has faced repeated domestic calls for NPT withdrawal, including draft legislation in Iran’s parliament in March 2026 and a July 2026 statement from a presiding board member urging immediate exit, triggered by U.S.-Israeli strikes on nuclear sites, snapback sanctions concerns, and IAEA access disputes. Officials have suspended cooperation with the agency while framing any exit as leverage or a last resort rather than an imminent step. Iran continued participating in the 2026 NPT Review Conference without advancing a formal withdrawal notification or vote, consistent with its long-standing emphasis on Article IV rights to peaceful nuclear activities. Active multilateral diplomatic channels and the high costs of full isolation have reinforced trader consensus that formal departure before 2027 remains unlikely absent a decisive escalation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
10% peluang
$334,386 Vol.
$334,386 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
10% peluang
$334,386 Vol.
$334,386 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iran has faced repeated domestic calls for NPT withdrawal, including draft legislation in Iran’s parliament in March 2026 and a July 2026 statement from a presiding board member urging immediate exit, triggered by U.S.-Israeli strikes on nuclear sites, snapback sanctions concerns, and IAEA access disputes. Officials have suspended cooperation with the agency while framing any exit as leverage or a last resort rather than an imminent step. Iran continued participating in the 2026 NPT Review Conference without advancing a formal withdrawal notification or vote, consistent with its long-standing emphasis on Article IV rights to peaceful nuclear activities. Active multilateral diplomatic channels and the high costs of full isolation have reinforced trader consensus that formal departure before 2027 remains unlikely absent a decisive escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Volume
$334,386Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iran has faced repeated domestic calls for NPT withdrawal, including draft legislation in Iran’s parliament in March 2026 and a July 2026 statement from a presiding board member urging immediate exit, triggered by U.S.-Israeli strikes on nuclear sites, snapback sanctions concerns, and IAEA access disputes. Officials have suspended cooperation with the agency while framing any exit as leverage or a last resort rather than an imminent step. Iran continued participating in the 2026 NPT Review Conference without advancing a formal withdrawal notification or vote, consistent with its long-standing emphasis on Article IV rights to peaceful nuclear activities. Active multilateral diplomatic channels and the high costs of full isolation have reinforced trader consensus that formal departure before 2027 remains unlikely absent a decisive escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$334,386Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran has faced repeated domestic calls for NPT withdrawal, including draft legislation in Iran’s parliament in March 2026 and a July 2026 statement from a presiding board member urging immediate exit, triggered by U.S.-Israeli strikes on nuclear sites, snapback sanctions concerns, and IAEA access disputes. Officials have suspended cooperation with the agency while framing any exit as leverage or a last resort rather than an imminent step. Iran continued participating in the 2026 NPT Review Conference without advancing a formal withdrawal notification or vote, consistent with its long-standing emphasis on Article IV rights to peaceful nuclear activities. Active multilateral diplomatic channels and the high costs of full isolation have reinforced trader consensus that formal departure before 2027 remains unlikely absent a decisive escalation.
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