**Formal diplomatic protocols and established precedent strongly shape trader expectations ahead of the September 24 White House state visit.** In their May 2026 Beijing summit, the leaders exchanged extended handshakes with arm pats but no embrace, despite Trump’s earlier public prediction of a “big, fat hug.” State visits between the U.S. and China typically feature ceremonial greetings aligned with protocol rather than personal gestures, even amid Trump’s warmer recent rhetoric and preparations such as a South Lawn helipad and state dinner. Ongoing tensions over Taiwan, trade, rare earth exports, and technology continue to frame interactions as strategic rather than informal. These patterns, combined with the measured body language observed in prior meetings, underpin the 94.3% implied probability that no hug will occur.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui6% peluang
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Oct 7, 2026
6% peluang
BARU
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Oct 7, 2026
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.**Formal diplomatic protocols and established precedent strongly shape trader expectations ahead of the September 24 White House state visit.** In their May 2026 Beijing summit, the leaders exchanged extended handshakes with arm pats but no embrace, despite Trump’s earlier public prediction of a “big, fat hug.” State visits between the U.S. and China typically feature ceremonial greetings aligned with protocol rather than personal gestures, even amid Trump’s warmer recent rhetoric and preparations such as a South Lawn helipad and state dinner. Ongoing tensions over Taiwan, trade, rare earth exports, and technology continue to frame interactions as strategic rather than informal. These patterns, combined with the measured body language observed in prior meetings, underpin the 94.3% implied probability that no hug will occur.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Volume
$4,767Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.**Formal diplomatic protocols and established precedent strongly shape trader expectations ahead of the September 24 White House state visit.** In their May 2026 Beijing summit, the leaders exchanged extended handshakes with arm pats but no embrace, despite Trump’s earlier public prediction of a “big, fat hug.” State visits between the U.S. and China typically feature ceremonial greetings aligned with protocol rather than personal gestures, even amid Trump’s warmer recent rhetoric and preparations such as a South Lawn helipad and state dinner. Ongoing tensions over Taiwan, trade, rare earth exports, and technology continue to frame interactions as strategic rather than informal. These patterns, combined with the measured body language observed in prior meetings, underpin the 94.3% implied probability that no hug will occur.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Volume
$4,767Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Formal diplomatic protocols and established precedent strongly shape trader expectations ahead of the September 24 White House state visit.** In their May 2026 Beijing summit, the leaders exchanged extended handshakes with arm pats but no embrace, despite Trump’s earlier public prediction of a “big, fat hug.” State visits between the U.S. and China typically feature ceremonial greetings aligned with protocol rather than personal gestures, even amid Trump’s warmer recent rhetoric and preparations such as a South Lawn helipad and state dinner. Ongoing tensions over Taiwan, trade, rare earth exports, and technology continue to frame interactions as strategic rather than informal. These patterns, combined with the measured body language observed in prior meetings, underpin the 94.3% implied probability that no hug will occur.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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