The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act permanently extended most provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act yet left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0 percent, 15 percent, and 20 percent. Subsequent Republican proposals to lower the top rate or index gains for inflation have remained in internal debate without reaching a floor vote, as party leaders prioritize other measures and navigate divisions ahead of the November 2026 midterms. With the legislative calendar now compressed through the end of 2026, traders view additional capital gains relief as unlikely to advance before the 2027 deadline, producing the current 70.5 percent implied probability on No.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBARU
BARU
Dec 31, 2026
BARU
BARU
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act permanently extended most provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act yet left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0 percent, 15 percent, and 20 percent. Subsequent Republican proposals to lower the top rate or index gains for inflation have remained in internal debate without reaching a floor vote, as party leaders prioritize other measures and navigate divisions ahead of the November 2026 midterms. With the legislative calendar now compressed through the end of 2026, traders view additional capital gains relief as unlikely to advance before the 2027 deadline, producing the current 70.5 percent implied probability on No.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$1,576Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act permanently extended most provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act yet left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0 percent, 15 percent, and 20 percent. Subsequent Republican proposals to lower the top rate or index gains for inflation have remained in internal debate without reaching a floor vote, as party leaders prioritize other measures and navigate divisions ahead of the November 2026 midterms. With the legislative calendar now compressed through the end of 2026, traders view additional capital gains relief as unlikely to advance before the 2027 deadline, producing the current 70.5 percent implied probability on No.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,576Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act permanently extended most provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act yet left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0 percent, 15 percent, and 20 percent. Subsequent Republican proposals to lower the top rate or index gains for inflation have remained in internal debate without reaching a floor vote, as party leaders prioritize other measures and navigate divisions ahead of the November 2026 midterms. With the legislative calendar now compressed through the end of 2026, traders view additional capital gains relief as unlikely to advance before the 2027 deadline, producing the current 70.5 percent implied probability on No.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan