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icon for Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?
Politik·Terror

Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?

icon for Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?
Politik·Terror

Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?

94% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
94% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's May 2026 actions explain the elevated "Yes" odds. On May 28, Secretary of State Marco Rubio designated Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV) as Specially Designated Global Terrorists under Executive Order 13224, with formal Foreign Terrorist Organization status effective June 5. The move aligns with the administration's pattern of applying terrorism designations to major Latin American criminal networks involved in drug trafficking and violence, following similar steps against Mexican cartels and Tren de Aragua. It followed direct advocacy by Brazilian Senator Flávio Bolsonaro during White House meetings and occurred despite objections from the Lula government over sovereignty and legal distinctions between organized crime and terrorism. With the designations already finalized months ahead of the December 31 deadline, trader consensus reflects the completed policy outcome rather than ongoing uncertainty.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,092
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 28, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's May 2026 actions explain the elevated "Yes" odds. On May 28, Secretary of State Marco Rubio designated Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV) as Specially Designated Global Terrorists under Executive Order 13224, with formal Foreign Terrorist Organization status effective June 5. The move aligns with the administration's pattern of applying terrorism designations to major Latin American criminal networks involved in drug trafficking and violence, following similar steps against Mexican cartels and Tren de Aragua. It followed direct advocacy by Brazilian Senator Flávio Bolsonaro during White House meetings and occurred despite objections from the Lula government over sovereignty and legal distinctions between organized crime and terrorism. With the designations already finalized months ahead of the December 31 deadline, trader consensus reflects the completed policy outcome rather than ongoing uncertainty.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,092
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 28, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 94% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 94¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 94% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada May 28, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?" adalah 94% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 94% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.