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icon for Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?

Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?

icon for Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?

Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?

$41,596 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$41,596 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$33,672 Vol.

81%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump Mobile's long-delayed T1 smartphone is now entering the final stage of rollout, with the company announcing on May 13 that pre-ordered units will begin shipping this week after repeated production setbacks. Originally unveiled in June 2025 by Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump with an August 2025 target, the $499 gold-plated device faced multiple postponements tied to U.S. assembly challenges and shifting manufacturing claims. The recent confirmation from CEO Pat O'Brien that final assembly is complete and deliveries are underway has shifted trader focus toward whether the initial wave reaches customers before any market cutoff. Historical patterns of celebrity-branded tech launches show that once shipping begins, resolution typically follows within weeks, though supply-chain hiccups remain a wildcard in this high-profile pop culture crossover.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify.

Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$41,596
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 27, 2026, 2:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump Mobile's long-delayed T1 smartphone is now entering the final stage of rollout, with the company announcing on May 13 that pre-ordered units will begin shipping this week after repeated production setbacks. Originally unveiled in June 2025 by Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump with an August 2025 target, the $499 gold-plated device faced multiple postponements tied to U.S. assembly challenges and shifting manufacturing claims. The recent confirmation from CEO Pat O'Brien that final assembly is complete and deliveries are underway has shifted trader focus toward whether the initial wave reaches customers before any market cutoff. Historical patterns of celebrity-branded tech launches show that once shipping begins, resolution typically follows within weeks, though supply-chain hiccups remain a wildcard in this high-profile pop culture crossover.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify.

Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$41,596
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 27, 2026, 2:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "June 30" di 81%, diikuti oleh "April 30" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 81¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 81% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?" telah menghasilkan $41.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Mar 27, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?" adalah "June 30" di 81%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 81% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "April 30" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.