Trump's second term and the structural barriers of the constitutional amendment process drive the overwhelming trader consensus against repealing presidential term limits by the end of 2026. Amending or repealing the 22nd Amendment requires two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of the states, a threshold met only once in U.S. history to repeal Prohibition. A January 2025 House resolution to permit three terms advanced no further, while Trump publicly stated he would not pursue changes to the limit. Congressional attention has instead focused on separate proposals for legislative branch term limits. Realistic paths that could still shift odds include an unforeseen surge in bipartisan support during a lame-duck period or successful navigation of alternative procedural routes, though both remain remote given current partisan dynamics and ratification timelines.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui6% peluang
$13,014 Vol.
$13,014 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
6% peluang
$13,014 Vol.
$13,014 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.Trump's second term and the structural barriers of the constitutional amendment process drive the overwhelming trader consensus against repealing presidential term limits by the end of 2026. Amending or repealing the 22nd Amendment requires two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of the states, a threshold met only once in U.S. history to repeal Prohibition. A January 2025 House resolution to permit three terms advanced no further, while Trump publicly stated he would not pursue changes to the limit. Congressional attention has instead focused on separate proposals for legislative branch term limits. Realistic paths that could still shift odds include an unforeseen surge in bipartisan support during a lame-duck period or successful navigation of alternative procedural routes, though both remain remote given current partisan dynamics and ratification timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Volume
$13,014Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.Trump's second term and the structural barriers of the constitutional amendment process drive the overwhelming trader consensus against repealing presidential term limits by the end of 2026. Amending or repealing the 22nd Amendment requires two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of the states, a threshold met only once in U.S. history to repeal Prohibition. A January 2025 House resolution to permit three terms advanced no further, while Trump publicly stated he would not pursue changes to the limit. Congressional attention has instead focused on separate proposals for legislative branch term limits. Realistic paths that could still shift odds include an unforeseen surge in bipartisan support during a lame-duck period or successful navigation of alternative procedural routes, though both remain remote given current partisan dynamics and ratification timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Volume
$13,014Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's second term and the structural barriers of the constitutional amendment process drive the overwhelming trader consensus against repealing presidential term limits by the end of 2026. Amending or repealing the 22nd Amendment requires two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of the states, a threshold met only once in U.S. history to repeal Prohibition. A January 2025 House resolution to permit three terms advanced no further, while Trump publicly stated he would not pursue changes to the limit. Congressional attention has instead focused on separate proposals for legislative branch term limits. Realistic paths that could still shift odds include an unforeseen surge in bipartisan support during a lame-duck period or successful navigation of alternative procedural routes, though both remain remote given current partisan dynamics and ratification timelines.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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