Recent U.S. sanctions relief following Venezuela’s January 2026 political transition has opened pathways for expanded operations by Chevron, Vitol, and Trafigura, easing prior restrictions on exports and equipment imports. Current crude output hovers near 1.1 million barrels per day after a modest rebound from 2025 lows, supported by inventory drawdowns and renewed licensing that clears storage bottlenecks. Infrastructure constraints and limited new capital commitments remain key headwinds, though analysts project output could climb toward 1.3–1.5 million barrels per day by year-end if investment inflows accelerate and political stability holds. Traders are monitoring upcoming OFAC guidance and any new joint-venture approvals as potential catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around 2026 production thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$111,063 Vol.
Feb 28, 2027
1.1m
98%
1.2m
75%
1.3m
41%
1.4m
16%
1.5m
8%
1.7m
4%
2m
5%
$111,063 Vol.
1.1m
$14,543 Vol.
98%
1.2m
$9,230 Vol.
75%
1.3m
$6,900 Vol.
41%
1.4m
$16,885 Vol.
16%
1.5m
$8,029 Vol.
8%
1.7m
$3,757 Vol.
4%
2m
$12,641 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief following Venezuela’s January 2026 political transition has opened pathways for expanded operations by Chevron, Vitol, and Trafigura, easing prior restrictions on exports and equipment imports. Current crude output hovers near 1.1 million barrels per day after a modest rebound from 2025 lows, supported by inventory drawdowns and renewed licensing that clears storage bottlenecks. Infrastructure constraints and limited new capital commitments remain key headwinds, though analysts project output could climb toward 1.3–1.5 million barrels per day by year-end if investment inflows accelerate and political stability holds. Traders are monitoring upcoming OFAC guidance and any new joint-venture approvals as potential catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around 2026 production thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Volume
$111,063Tanggal Berakhir
Feb 28, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief following Venezuela’s January 2026 political transition has opened pathways for expanded operations by Chevron, Vitol, and Trafigura, easing prior restrictions on exports and equipment imports. Current crude output hovers near 1.1 million barrels per day after a modest rebound from 2025 lows, supported by inventory drawdowns and renewed licensing that clears storage bottlenecks. Infrastructure constraints and limited new capital commitments remain key headwinds, though analysts project output could climb toward 1.3–1.5 million barrels per day by year-end if investment inflows accelerate and political stability holds. Traders are monitoring upcoming OFAC guidance and any new joint-venture approvals as potential catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around 2026 production thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Volume
$111,063Tanggal Berakhir
Feb 28, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. sanctions relief following Venezuela’s January 2026 political transition has opened pathways for expanded operations by Chevron, Vitol, and Trafigura, easing prior restrictions on exports and equipment imports. Current crude output hovers near 1.1 million barrels per day after a modest rebound from 2025 lows, supported by inventory drawdowns and renewed licensing that clears storage bottlenecks. Infrastructure constraints and limited new capital commitments remain key headwinds, though analysts project output could climb toward 1.3–1.5 million barrels per day by year-end if investment inflows accelerate and political stability holds. Traders are monitoring upcoming OFAC guidance and any new joint-venture approvals as potential catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around 2026 production thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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