WTI crude oil futures settled near $68.80 per barrel on July 3, 2026, after a sharp 26% monthly decline amid easing supply disruptions. The dominant driver remains the gradual normalization of Middle East flows following the U.S.-Iran conflict and reduced Strait of Hormuz traffic, which earlier cut regional output by over 11 million barrels per day and drew down OECD inventories to multi-decade lows. Recent reports of incremental shipping resumption and U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress have tempered upside risks, aligning with EIA projections of Brent averaging around $105 early in the third quarter before moderating. Traders are also monitoring global demand weakness—now forecast to fall 1.1 million barrels per day for 2026—and any near-term signals from OPEC+ compliance or Fed policy that could influence risk sentiment and inventory builds heading into the July 6–12 trading window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui↑ $100
5%
↑ $95
50%
↑ $90
55%
↑ $85
50%
↑ $80
50%
↑ $75
50%
↑ $70
75%
↓ $65
60%
↓ $60
50%
↓ $55
50%
↓ $50
50%
↓ $45
36%
↓ $40
5%
↓ $35
5%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $100
5%
↑ $95
50%
↑ $90
55%
↑ $85
50%
↑ $80
50%
↑ $75
50%
↑ $70
75%
↓ $65
60%
↓ $60
50%
↓ $55
50%
↓ $50
50%
↓ $45
36%
↓ $40
5%
↓ $35
5%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 3, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Sumber Resolusi
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil futures settled near $68.80 per barrel on July 3, 2026, after a sharp 26% monthly decline amid easing supply disruptions. The dominant driver remains the gradual normalization of Middle East flows following the U.S.-Iran conflict and reduced Strait of Hormuz traffic, which earlier cut regional output by over 11 million barrels per day and drew down OECD inventories to multi-decade lows. Recent reports of incremental shipping resumption and U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress have tempered upside risks, aligning with EIA projections of Brent averaging around $105 early in the third quarter before moderating. Traders are also monitoring global demand weakness—now forecast to fall 1.1 million barrels per day for 2026—and any near-term signals from OPEC+ compliance or Fed policy that could influence risk sentiment and inventory builds heading into the July 6–12 trading window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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