Recent voter registration drives have expanded Zambia’s eligible electorate ahead of the August 13 presidential vote, supporting trader expectations for turnout in the 50-60% range that aligns with the country’s long-term average. Incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema’s UPND holds a polling lead, yet opposition concerns over legal processes and uneven application of campaign rules create uncertainty about mobilization levels. Youth participation, a decisive factor in 2021, remains a key variable, while broader economic pressures and polarized perceptions of electoral fairness could either boost or dampen participation. Scheduled campaign activities through early August and any further registration updates are the most immediate factors that could shift implied probabilities across the current brackets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiZambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout
Zambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout
60-70% 38%
70-80% 20%
50-60% 18%
<50% 13%
$28,509 Vol.
$28,509 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
<50%
13%
50-60%
18%
60-70%
38%
70-80%
20%
80%+
7%
60-70% 38%
70-80% 20%
50-60% 18%
<50% 13%
$28,509 Vol.
$28,509 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
<50%
$5,130 Vol.
13%
50-60%
$6,378 Vol.
18%
60-70%
$9,588 Vol.
38%
70-80%
$2,775 Vol.
20%
80%+
$4,638 Vol.
7%
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Recent voter registration drives have expanded Zambia’s eligible electorate ahead of the August 13 presidential vote, supporting trader expectations for turnout in the 50-60% range that aligns with the country’s long-term average. Incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema’s UPND holds a polling lead, yet opposition concerns over legal processes and uneven application of campaign rules create uncertainty about mobilization levels. Youth participation, a decisive factor in 2021, remains a key variable, while broader economic pressures and polarized perceptions of electoral fairness could either boost or dampen participation. Scheduled campaign activities through early August and any further registration updates are the most immediate factors that could shift implied probabilities across the current brackets.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Volume
$28,509Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Recent voter registration drives have expanded Zambia’s eligible electorate ahead of the August 13 presidential vote, supporting trader expectations for turnout in the 50-60% range that aligns with the country’s long-term average. Incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema’s UPND holds a polling lead, yet opposition concerns over legal processes and uneven application of campaign rules create uncertainty about mobilization levels. Youth participation, a decisive factor in 2021, remains a key variable, while broader economic pressures and polarized perceptions of electoral fairness could either boost or dampen participation. Scheduled campaign activities through early August and any further registration updates are the most immediate factors that could shift implied probabilities across the current brackets.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Volume
$28,509Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent voter registration drives have expanded Zambia’s eligible electorate ahead of the August 13 presidential vote, supporting trader expectations for turnout in the 50-60% range that aligns with the country’s long-term average. Incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema’s UPND holds a polling lead, yet opposition concerns over legal processes and uneven application of campaign rules create uncertainty about mobilization levels. Youth participation, a decisive factor in 2021, remains a key variable, while broader economic pressures and polarized perceptions of electoral fairness could either boost or dampen participation. Scheduled campaign activities through early August and any further registration updates are the most immediate factors that could shift implied probabilities across the current brackets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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